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31 votes

ALSI Trades

Started by Plasma , Apr 03 2013 09:05 PM

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#24241 davidp13

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Posted 14 January 2014 - 08:23 AM

The Bear flotilla has docked, and are preparing in the harbour to begin their onslaught.

Hope they are not too hung over!

Target for the day: 40420 (Spot)

K

My banker will come and kiss you if we move to that level.

Enjoy the day all.

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I find trading like body surfing, catch the right one and you will make it all the way to the beach.

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#24242 K~~

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Posted 14 January 2014 - 08:19 AM

The Bear flotilla has docked, and are preparing in the harbour to begin their onslaught.

Hope they are not too hung over!

Target for the day: 40420 (Spot)

K

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"The Stock Market is never obvious. It is designed to fool most of the people, most of the time." - Jesse Livermore.

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#24243 AJS

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Posted 14 January 2014 - 07:12 AM

Morning, what a cave in on US markets - Tencent down 0.68% BHP , in Aus down 1.12%

- I think there will be dip buyers on S&P at 1817/19 where is now, futures there up

-- what is envisaged levels for today for T40 / T40F's ??

S&P support comes in at 1814 and 1800 from where it is now (below 1824).

Edited by AJS, 14 January 2014 - 07:15 AM.

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"Trade what you see, not what you think"

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#24244 OceanWalz

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Posted 14 January 2014 - 06:41 AM

At the end of Dec-13 there were about 37% of DJ stocks trading at their 52-wk highs... Quite impressive. During Mar-13 to Apr-13 there was a point were almost 47% of DJ stocks were trading at 52-wk highs!

Morning, what a cave in on US markets - Tencent down 0.68% BHP , in Aus down 1.12%

- I think there will be dip buyers on S&P at 1817/19 where is now, futures there up

-- what is envisaged levels for today for T40 / T40F's ??

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#24245 AJS

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Posted 14 January 2014 - 05:33 AM

At the end of Dec-13 there were about 37% of DJ stocks trading at their 52-wk highs... Quite impressive. During Mar-13 to Apr-13 there was a point were almost 47% of DJ stocks were trading at 52-wk highs!

Attached Files

DJ_52wk_high.jpg 127.21KB 17 downloads

Edited by AJS, 14 January 2014 - 05:34 AM.

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#24246 davidp13

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Posted 13 January 2014 - 09:42 PM

You've been waiting to post this for a while.

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#24247 AJS

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Posted 13 January 2014 - 09:41 PM

*edit* Oil also now below $92 a barrel. Important level, might head to 1Y lows?!

Attached Files

Timmmbeeeeerrrrr.jpg 206.36KB 26 downloads

Edited by AJS, 13 January 2014 - 09:42 PM.

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#24248 AJS

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Posted 13 January 2014 - 09:33 PM

Thanks for all the info ajs. With all this info I'm sure that mustang is not far off. Like the way you read the charts.

Cool man, no worries. I love charts!

Will see what happens during the first our or so tomorrow and open another couple of shorts.

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#24249 fabes

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Posted 13 January 2014 - 09:31 PM

Thanks for all the info ajs. With all this info I'm sure that mustang is not far off. Like the way you read the charts.

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#24250 fabes

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Posted 13 January 2014 - 09:28 PM

Guys i assume it's safe to short the hell out of the market? I'm sorry I didn't short at 413 today. Was afraid the bull might make an appearance.

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#24251 AJS

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Posted 13 January 2014 - 08:32 PM

Thanks AJS

Sure

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#24252 AJS

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Posted 13 January 2014 - 08:32 PM

Sorry, let me elaborate: See how many times the put/call ration found "support" at -1 SD? It is currently quite low, meaning more calls than puts out there. If it turns however...

I'm not even reading the chart,haha. Put/call ration now very low. Close to 1, so it is quite even Stevens.

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#24253 Plasma

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Posted 13 January 2014 - 08:30 PM

Another interesting chart... S&P relative to put/call ratio.

Sorry, let me elaborate: See how many times the put/call ration found "support" at -1 SD? It is currently quite low, meaning more calls than puts out there. If it turns however...

Thanks AJS

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The first goal is to ensure survival – avoid the risks that can empty your account and put you out of the trading business.

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#24254 AJS

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Posted 13 January 2014 - 08:15 PM

Another interesting chart... S&P relative to put/call ratio.

Sorry, let me elaborate: See how many times the put/call ration found "support" at -1 SD? It is currently quite low, meaning more calls than puts out there. If it turns however...

Edited by AJS, 13 January 2014 - 08:15 PM.

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#24255 AJS

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Posted 13 January 2014 - 08:08 PM

Another interesting chart... S&P relative to put/call ratio.

Attached Files

Put_Call_Ratio.jpg 110.82KB 18 downloads

Edited by AJS, 13 January 2014 - 08:09 PM.

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#24256 AJS

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Posted 13 January 2014 - 08:02 PM

Interpretation?

Risk-off... i.e. I see downside from here looking at this graph.

Low VIX signals complacency among investors. Over the course of history, whenever the VIX falls so low it is usually followed by some sell off. I might be wrong though, but that is how I've read the charts I've been looking at.

It (VIX) is inversely related to stock markets. When VIX is very high, market is generally low, when VIX is low market is generally at a high.

*edit* Attached chart shows this inverse relationship.

Attached Files

VIX_S&P.jpg 104.25KB 16 downloads

Edited by AJS, 13 January 2014 - 08:05 PM.

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#24257 Plasma

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Posted 13 January 2014 - 07:57 PM

Had a short at 41277. Would have been nice if I kept it.....just soothing myself...before that a short at 41216. Closed it in that massive upward move. Broke my rule ....lost again my morning profits. Did not follow through on my post of yesterday. Should have gone long after the convincing break up.