35854 replies to this topic

[warnerbroers]

did the gap close?

[Argento]

Hierdie is een warm klap!!

 

A

[REDorBLACK]

scrap that....on the edge of doom now...

Ladies and gentlemen...its too late to strap on your life jackets we are going down!!!!

[warnerbroers]

Learning the hard way by trading against it through the years, but mostly from UBS and their cycles!

 

Best is to go back and study historical charts (don't always follow the same pattern but more or less), other key factors includes earnings season months, ECB meeting dates, futures close-out, Santa rallies (triple witching), seasonal bearish/bullish months etc

 

Jan  - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish)

Feb - Bullish but if Jan bullish followed by an uptrend then could be a top month (refer to previous years)

March - Bearish first half but futures close-out month so rally latter part

April - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish)

May - Tricky, sometimes bullish sometimes bearish but known as a very zig zag month

June - Mostly bearish but futures close-out month, after it is bullish...

July - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish)

August - Depend on bullmarket or bearmarket, if bull then bullish, if bear then bearish

September - Futures close-out month, first half bullish, second bearish

October - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish), also called month of bottoms

November - Bearish

December - First half bearish, latter bullish (Santa rally)

 

BUT...all of this must fit in with the tape, pattern and trend it is busy with!

 

Again, not set in stone but a good overall guideline!

 

A

great thank you   ! much appreciated

[Argento]

hey A, where do you get your seasonal info from? thx.

Learning the hard way by trading against it through the years, but mostly from UBS and their cycles!

 

Best is to go back and study historical charts (don't always follow the same pattern but more or less), other key factors includes earnings season months, ECB meeting dates, futures close-out, Santa rallies (triple witching), seasonal bearish/bullish months etc

 

Jan  - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish)

Feb - Bullish but if Jan bullish followed by an uptrend then could be a top month (refer to previous years)

March - Bearish first half but futures close-out month so rally latter part

April - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish)

May - Tricky, sometimes bullish sometimes bearish but known as a very zig zag month

June - Mostly bearish but futures close-out month, after it is bullish...

July - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish)

August - Depend on bullmarket or bearmarket, if bull then bullish, if bear then bearish

September - Futures close-out month, first half bullish, second bearish

October - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish), also called month of bottoms

November - Bearish

December - First half bearish, latter bullish (Santa rally)

 

BUT...all of this must fit in with the tape, pattern and trend it is busy with!

 

Again, not set in stone but a good overall guideline!

 

A

[warnerbroers]

hey A, where do you get your seasonal info from? thx.

[Ninja]

The paw paw is on the fan yet naspers remains above R1500😝

[REDorBLACK]

150 odd points to the chasm....no parachutes allowed...

scrap that....on the edge of doom now...

[REDorBLACK]

150 odd points to the chasm....no parachutes allowed...

[Motion Picture]

Greedy bear this!

 

Big black Bulgarian bear!

[gannet]

 

[Argento]

A

 

If one wrong position wipes out the gain of 5 previous winning trades, then your money AND risk management profile is wrong. I state it as the obvious and I'm sure that you follow proper trading principles.

 

I am not referring to scalpers that will wipe out 5 x 50 pip scalps with 1 losing trade of 250 pips. Scalping is opportunistic at best and is just another tool to add pocket money to the war chest, and not a trading method in my opinion.

[JJBen]

A

 

If one wrong position wipes out the gain of 5 previous winning trades, then your money AND risk management profile is wrong. I state it as the obvious and I'm sure that you follow proper trading principles.

 

I am not referring to scalpers that will wipe out 5 x 50 pip scalps with 1 losing trade of 250 pips. Scalping is opportunistic at best and is just another tool to add pocket money to the war chest, and not a trading method in my opinion.

 

 

 

 

[Lamarje]

German CPI @ 15:00(SA)...

[Argento]

Tell your son to remember the name HDBB

 

30 years from now ill also write a book and tell him to read it!! Ill explain how to make money the easy way....

 

No jokes aside, I haven't read a book my whole life and I don't plan too...You need to use your won judgement and system to win here. Reading  book means you following the crowd...and what happens in trading... 90% ( the crowd) lose money!!

 

 

Cheers!!

Reading books give you knowledge, insight and wisdom and by all means not saying you are following the crowd, and money is never made easy even in this game!

 

But hope your books find its way next to mine!

 

A

[HDB]

Says the guy that made a 100mil and wrote a few books, you there yet buddy?

 

A

Tell your son to remember the name HDBB

 

30 years from now ill also write a book and tell him to read it!! Ill explain how to make money the easy way....

 

No jokes aside, I haven't read a book my whole life and I don't plan too...You need to use your won judgement and system to win here. Reading  book means you following the crowd...and what happens in trading... 90% ( the crowd) lose money!!

 

 

Cheers!!

[Argento]

Jesse Livermore (not Livingston) went broke a dozen times with his own and other people's money, and eventually committed suicide. Not my ultimate role-model, but each to his own.

 

I have a great respect for his wisdoms but tape-reading the DOW in 1915 vs. trading the ALSI in 2015 is very different in my very humble opinion. With increased volatility you can make multiple trades in a very short time.

 

95% of traders will go broke in the longer term due to a lack of money management (position sizing) and risk management (cutting losses). It was true in 1915, it is also true in 2015.

Not my role model just following his strategy and basic principals!

 

If you can make consistent winnings with trading the ALSI on its daily fluctuations and maintain an account of 2 mil or more I'll take my hat of to you....other than HDB that actually posted his winnings and projections haven't seen other guys really doing it?It only takes one wrong short play to wipe out 5 winning streaks!

 

Know this age of graphs and systems is not the same and more complex but the main principals behind tape reading is still the same, what is happening now happend in 1915 as well!

 

I fear that your last statement might be true!

 

A

[JJBen]

Jesse Livermore (not Livingston) went broke a dozen times with his own and other people's money, and eventually committed suicide. Not my ultimate role-model, but each to his own.

 

I have a great respect for his wisdoms but tape-reading the DOW in 1915 vs. trading the ALSI in 2015 is very different in my very humble opinion. With increased volatility you can make multiple trades in a very short time.

 

95% of traders will go broke in the longer term due to a lack of money management (position sizing) and risk management (cutting losses). It was true in 1915, it is also true in 2015.

[Argento]

Says who??

 

you can play whatever time frame you want as long as you follow a system..

 

Here is proof for day traders..

 

 

1. OUV call for today worked like a charm

 

latest

1. 43547

2. 43650

 

and out...200p...not bad start!!

 

 

 

2. at 8.38pm

 

today was and is very dangerous...im expecting a big drop either at open or ftse opening!!

any over shoot to 43700 will be a short!!

 

 

3. not happy with AGL, cfr and SAB prices...should come down closer to 10am

 

 

 

4. at 9.30am

 

sitting duck short!!

all those longs who went in after 9 in danger of bust!!

 

 

5.  red red wine on Monday 5th as promised....and more to follow!!

 

 

6. remember that hs on Friday.....IG went there after hours...Now turn of Safex to got here....will bounce off that ,think it was 43320

 

 

7. got it...2 hour chart....HS....neckline broken about 43325

target +-1000 lower!! MM at it again!!

 

 

all day trades for today!!!

 

 

FREE MONEY!!  No charge.....

 

 

Clear as crystal I hope????

If your system works for you great, clearly it involves skill too that not any man on the street has!

 

But given that most of the prop desks of all our major banks closed down exactly due to the fact that in this time and age the markets are just too volatile and liquidity driven, so they too came to this conclusion that should say something!!!??

 

But hope you members are rolling in the money.....

 

A

[Argento]

Says who??

 

you can play whatever time frame you want as long as you follow a system..

 

Here is proof for day traders..

 

 

1. OUV call for today worked like a charm

 

latest

1. 43547

2. 43650

 

and out...200p...not bad start!!

 

 

 

2. at 8.38pm

 

today was and is very dangerous...im expecting a big drop either at open or ftse opening!!

any over shoot to 43700 will be a short!!

 

 

3. not happy with AGL, cfr and SAB prices...should come down closer to 10am

 

 

 

4. at 9.30am

 

sitting duck short!!

all those longs who went in after 9 in danger of bust!!

 

 

5.  red red wine on Monday 5th as promised....and more to follow!!

 

 

6. remember that hs on Friday.....IG went there after hours...Now turn of Safex to got here....will bounce off that ,think it was 43320

 

 

7. got it...2 hour chart....HS....neckline broken about 43325

target +-1000 lower!! MM at it again!!

 

 

all day trades for today!!!

 

 

FREE MONEY!!  No charge.....

 

 

Clear as crystal I hope????

Says the guy that made a 100mil and wrote a few books, you there yet buddy?

 

A