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Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #97586] Mon, 09 July 2012 15:44 Go to previous messageGo to next message
hdbb  South Africa
Messages: 2222
Registered: August 2009
Location: By the sea
Senior Member
perreby wrote on Mon, 09 July 2012 14:46
I own a big chunk of COH (largely thanks to my PSG holding, which lead to my PLD holding which in turn lead to my COH holding) and the rights issue offer which was to good to turn down.

But at the current price I wont even consider buying COH. The price is being pumped up by suckers hoping the outlandish returns achieved before will continue.

This is a VERY long term play. Do not expect to make mega bucks here quickly.. You might get burnt VERY VERY hard.

So too newbies. Know what you get into before buying...


Food for thought from someebody who owns a share but does not pump it!!! Very Happy Very Happy

Well done Perreby.. Smile


hdb
The mediocre teacher tells.The good teacher explains.The superior teacher demonstrates. The great teacher inspires!!
Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #97587] Mon, 09 July 2012 15:58 Go to previous messageGo to next message
ram  South Africa
Messages: 26
Registered: January 2010
Location: NW
Junior Member
Is PLD still there, or delist?
Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #97588] Mon, 09 July 2012 16:17 Go to previous messageGo to next message
alf101  South Africa
Messages: 130
Registered: June 2012
Senior Member
ram wrote on Mon, 09 July 2012 15:58
Is PLD still there, or delist?


SHARE CODE: PSG
ISIN CODE: ZAE000013017
("PSG")
PALADIN CAPITAL LIMITED
Incorporated in the Republic of South Africa
(Registration number: 2007/032836/06)
Share code: PLD
ISIN: ZAE000138970
("PALADIN")
JOINT ANNOUNCEMENT: RESULTS OF SCHEME MEETING
Shareholders are referred to the announcements as published on SENS on 13
July 2011 and 24 August 2011, in the press on 14 July 2011 and 25 August
2011, and to the circular issued to Paladin shareholders on 24 August
2011 ("the Circular"), detailing the Scheme of Arrangement in terms of
section 114(1) of the Companies Act No 71 of 2008 ("the Companies Act"),
which has been proposed by PSG and is between Paladin and its
shareholders ("the Scheme"). The Scheme, if implemented, will result in
PSG acquiring the entire issued share capital of Paladin which
constitutes a total of 108 295 409 Paladin shares not already held by PSG
("Scheme Shares") for either the share consideration of 4 PSG shares for
each 100 Scheme Shares disposed of in terms of the Scheme or the cash
consideration of 170 cents for each Scheme Share disposed of.
Shareholders are hereby advised that the Scheme was approved by the
requisite majority of shareholders present and voting, in person or by
proxy, at the meeting of Scheme participants, being shareholders of
Paladin recorded in the register as such at Tuesday, 13 September 2011
and eligible to vote, held earlier today.
Shareholders are further advised that no dissenting shareholder notified
Paladin of their intention to oppose the special resolution nor was any
dissenting shareholder present at the Scheme Meeting to vote against the
special resolution.
Shareholders should note that the implementation of the Scheme remains
conditional upon the fulfilment of certain conditions precedent by no
later than 30 November 2011 as detailed in the Circular.
Further announcements regarding same will be released on SENS and
published in the press in due course.
Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #97589] Mon, 09 July 2012 16:52 Go to previous messageGo to next message
ram  South Africa
Messages: 26
Registered: January 2010
Location: NW
Junior Member
Thanks
Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #97598] Mon, 09 July 2012 22:25 Go to previous messageGo to next message
delta66  Netherlands
Messages: 432
Registered: August 2010
Senior Member
Cap wrote on Mon, 09 July 2012 14:28
Guys - I had this ride with Advtech in 1996. It was the top performer on the JSE in 1996, with a 1046% increase that year. Great whilst everyone was piling on, but when the bubble bursts and the fundamentals kick in, you can lose your shirt. Advtech is only now getting to the point where they are achieving a suitable ROI on the investments that they have made with the schools - rememebr these are substantial capital investments that take time to ramp up. That is for organic growth, if you are banking on acquisitive growth, the issues are very different, but equally challenging - the cultures and methodologies used by the different schools that are acquired take a long time to unify and bed down, with much upheaval on the way.
Enjoy the ride for now, but when the retail investors run out of steam and you have to start relying on fundamentals, it will take about 10 years to get to the point where it falls from. Make sure you exit before the drop.


yes, i remember Advtech back in the 90's..your words are sobering, COH is admittedly a risky investment, my intention is to reach 10% and exit. their price has been rocketing so i'm sure i'll see that by end this week or early next week.
Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #97599] Mon, 09 July 2012 22:56 Go to previous messageGo to next message
gammascalpa  United States
Messages: 416
Registered: June 2012
Location: Everywhere
Senior Member
delta66 wrote on Mon, 09 July 2012 22:25
Cap wrote on Mon, 09 July 2012 14:28
Guys - I had this ride with Advtech in 1996. It was the top performer on the JSE in 1996, with a 1046% increase that year. Great whilst everyone was piling on, but when the bubble bursts and the fundamentals kick in, you can lose your shirt. Advtech is only now getting to the point where they are achieving a suitable ROI on the investments that they have made with the schools - rememebr these are substantial capital investments that take time to ramp up. That is for organic growth, if you are banking on acquisitive growth, the issues are very different, but equally challenging - the cultures and methodologies used by the different schools that are acquired take a long time to unify and bed down, with much upheaval on the way.
Enjoy the ride for now, but when the retail investors run out of steam and you have to start relying on fundamentals, it will take about 10 years to get to the point where it falls from. Make sure you exit before the drop.

Cool
yes, i remember Advtech back in the 90's..your words are sobering, COH is admittedly a risky investment, my intention is to reach 10% and exit. their price has been rocketing so i'm sure i'll see that by end this week or early next week.


Delta, others,

In case my opinions earlier in this string are misunderstood let me clarify my position.
The market case for what Curro (and any competitor) is offering is VERY sound IMHO.
Curro itself is a company with great prospects but I agree with others that one has to view it as a long term play. It will take time to build out capacity and to realize a return.

The current share price is way overdone after the past months run. Mkt cap of almost 4B can not really be justified at this moment in time. I did a rough guestimate of what earnings might look like without all the recent capex and estimated say around 36mil which would put this on a forward PE of 111.
After a returning >50% in the past 30days I sold 85% of my holding today but will get back in when the price comes back to a reasonable level.


Cheers
gamma Smile


Do not try and bend the market. That's impossible. Instead... only try to realize the truth. Then you'll see, that it is not the market that bends, it is only yourself.
Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #97603] Tue, 10 July 2012 07:14 Go to previous messageGo to next message
HandyAndy  South Africa
Messages: 262
Registered: July 2009
Senior Member
I am in the same boat as Perreby,

Got a bunch of these based off my PSG/PLD. Bought into the rights offer. Wont touch it again for a few years. Especially near these levels.

It's farrrrrrr to risky for my blood as a short term play. i am playing the waiting game.
Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #97617] Tue, 10 July 2012 10:19 Go to previous messageGo to next message
delta66  Netherlands
Messages: 432
Registered: August 2010
Senior Member
i exited today @1580..couldn't stomach the risk and writing this off as a lesson. i could be wrong and perhaps the stock continues to do very well, i pray it does for you guys who are still invested

thanks to members of this forum pointing out the inherent short term risk, after doing some research i came to the same conclusion.
Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #97630] Tue, 10 July 2012 11:02 Go to previous messageGo to next message
NewbieBods  South Africa
Messages: 33
Registered: January 2011
Member
NewbieBods wrote on Wed, 30 November 2011 15:48
Yes I know. Got in at 6.16 and look where it is now.

I am sure they are also looking at the "lower segment" there must be something brewing here.

Maybe a joint venture with the State?

To help fill the gap where the state can't provide.

I hope with the rights issue I can get some more shares at a cheaper price. Smile



So with the partnership with OLM and PIC it seems they are targeting the "lower end"

at least I have one good share!!!
Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #97644] Tue, 10 July 2012 12:48 Go to previous messageGo to next message
fran13
Messages: 2
Registered: July 2012
Junior Member
Hi all,
This is my first post - I've been following a few topics on the forum for some time and decided to register to ask this question.

I actually stumbled upon this forum after googling for any news/articles on Curro shares and can't stop following the forum ever since. (some other interesting reads for a newbie like me)

So that leads me to my question. Would it be wise to buy a small amount of COH shares as long term investment (5-10 years +).

I'm not looking to get rich off it (it would be nice Very Happy ) but am willing to take the risk.
Thanks
Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #97645] Tue, 10 July 2012 12:55 Go to previous messageGo to next message
delta66  Netherlands
Messages: 432
Registered: August 2010
Senior Member
hiya fran13
long term..yes, i would buy, but not now. wait for it to drop somewhat
Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #97657] Tue, 10 July 2012 14:41 Go to previous messageGo to next message
boerboel
Messages: 935
Registered: October 2010
Senior Member
we are shorting this stock -with all the script we can find

stock is a great short

the fact that it is very tightly held is the only reason why this stock is trading at these absurd levels
Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #97703] Wed, 11 July 2012 10:18 Go to previous messageGo to next message
harryb  South Africa
Messages: 30
Registered: March 2012
Member
Wil by jul hoor, dink julle hierdie dreigemente van Cosatu wat gemaak word gaan Curro se aandeel-prys beinvloed?
Terwyl dit nog so hoog is moet ek maar verkoop of byt ons vas?

Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #97776] Wed, 11 July 2012 21:02 Go to previous messageGo to next message
gammascalpa  United States
Messages: 416
Registered: June 2012
Location: Everywhere
Senior Member
harryb wrote on Wed, 11 July 2012 04:18
Wil by jul hoor, dink julle hierdie dreigemente van Cosatu wat gemaak word gaan Curro se aandeel-prys beinvloed?
Terwyl dit nog so hoog is moet ek maar verkoop of byt ons vas?





harryb,

my 2 cents...

I doubt Cosatu making a noise will have a huge impact. It wont help the share price, but it shouldn't result in any significant downside.
The bigger problem is the current valuation has got ahead of itself. If you are prepared to hold for 5-10years you'll be fine. 1-2 years, maybe not.

The government must recognize that by expanding the private sector in this segment of the market, it will reduce the burden on the state which then should be able to spend same budget on fewer students, those that really can't afford it. End result should be that both those who can and those who can not afford private ed should see an improvement in quality.

Note I say 'should'. Chances are the gov will mismanage this opportunity resulting in an even further decline in standards in the public setting...but lets be optimistic shall we?


gamma


Do not try and bend the market. That's impossible. Instead... only try to realize the truth. Then you'll see, that it is not the market that bends, it is only yourself.
Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #98322] Tue, 24 July 2012 15:04 Go to previous messageGo to next message
dunjani  United States
Messages: 136
Registered: October 2006
Senior Member
What's the new caution involve? share is flying again. Very Happy
Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #98324] Tue, 24 July 2012 15:37 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Randall Stevens  South Africa
Messages: 1134
Registered: October 2009
Location: Johannesburg
Senior Member
dunjani wrote on Tue, 24 July 2012 15:04
What's the new caution involve? share is flying again. Very Happy


I can't believe the price is moving up. Rumour has it that Angie Motshekga is going to be made CEO Shocked

RS


Once we realize that imperfect understanding is the human condition there is no shame in being wrong, only in failing to correct our mistakes. - George Soros


Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #98327] Tue, 24 July 2012 16:10 Go to previous messageGo to next message
JinWook  South Africa
Messages: 23
Registered: August 2010
Junior Member
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lBuHZn-3XXE
Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #98328] Tue, 24 July 2012 16:14 Go to previous messageGo to next message
gammascalpa  United States
Messages: 416
Registered: June 2012
Location: Everywhere
Senior Member
dunjani wrote on Tue, 24 July 2012 09:04
What's the new caution involve? share is flying again. Very Happy


Most likely deploying some of that capital they raised in the rights issue.
or perhaps they are being acquired by the Popo Education department.

Still, at R17 (mkt cap of 4B - earnings of...) I'd be terrified of touching it right now..


gamma



Do not try and bend the market. That's impossible. Instead... only try to realize the truth. Then you'll see, that it is not the market that bends, it is only yourself.
Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #98329] Tue, 24 July 2012 16:30 Go to previous messageGo to next message
alf101  South Africa
Messages: 130
Registered: June 2012
Senior Member
P/E is now on -268.89
Re: Curro, the next Capitec [message #98334] Tue, 24 July 2012 16:55 Go to previous messageGo to previous message
peanuts  South Africa
Messages: 170
Registered: March 2011
Senior Member
earnings is far away ? it will crash before that time . You believe the story ? pay cheap , you will get another chance . It looks really good on your portfolio ? buy back later . It is an exploration company , not a cash distribution centre . Lets run together . Or something else
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