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Re: ALSI Trades [message #96798] Thu, 21 June 2012 22:14 Go to previous messageGo to next message
CFD Trader
Messages: 1361
Registered: January 2010
Location: Pretoria,ZA
Senior Member
Guys guys, look at Macro-Economic Data worldwide

US kak, China Kak and etc..
STAY SHORT ALSI, Commodities and Banks - WACK THE KLAP HAS STARTED - BEEG 1 !!

London close: Gloomy US data dents stocks further


21-06-2012 16:24


- Philly Fed manufacturing and other US data disappoints
- No QE3 boost from the Fed
- Chinese and Eurozone PMI's paint gloomy picture - resources Long's RUN

The Footsie closed near its lowest levels of the day on Thursday afternoon after a raft of economic indicators from the US disappointed, just one day after the Federal Reserve made a downward revision to growth forecasts.

There was a sharp drop seen in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's regional manufacturing sector survey with weakness evident in all of the forward-looking indicators. Meanwhile, jobless claims fell by a less-than-expected 2,000 last week, while existing home sales decreased by 1.5% in May.

Acting as a backdrop, the keenly-awaited Policy decision in the US last night failed to boost markets after the Federal Reserve also downgraded its growth forecasts for the world's largest economy. While the Federal Open Market Committee decided to extend its 'Operation Twist' programme, which involves the sale of short-term Debt in exchange for long-term securities with the intention of flattening the interest rate curve, it refrained from announcing any further quantitative easing measures (QE3).

The central bank said it expects US GDP to grow by 1.9-2.4% in 2012, down from earlier predictions of a 2.4-2.9% expansion.

The Chinese manufacturing sector purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the month of June compiled by Markit fell from 48.4 to 48.1 in June, a seven-month low. Many observers, however, believe that the Asian powerhouse will bottom-out in the current quarter. Furthermore, Markit's composite PMI for the Eurozone was 46.0 in June, unchanged from May's 35-month low.

Meanwhile, Spain managed to sell €2.22bn in debt, topping its €2bn top-end target. However, borrowing costs surged again compared with the previous auction. It was revealed today that the recapitalisation of the Spanish banking sector will cost up to €62bn, according to two independent auditors.

[Updated on: Thu, 21 June 2012 22:17]

Re: ALSI Trades [message #96802] Thu, 21 June 2012 23:02 Go to previous messageGo to next message
CFD Trader
Messages: 1361
Registered: January 2010
Location: Pretoria,ZA
Senior Member
Bugger the stops Soutie, Mhlato and ChristoD no - need on shorts

enjoy the ride down on tha wave - it's free money
Re: ALSI Trades [message #96803] Thu, 21 June 2012 23:15 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Mhlato
Messages: 276
Registered: July 2008
Senior Member
CFD Trader wrote on Thu, 21 June 2012 23:02
Bugger the stops Soutie, Mhlato and ChristoD no - need on shorts

enjoy the ride down on tha wave - it's free money


Nope, i have 2 deals, one @ 30520 and 30720 with TOPDWS and will
sell if we reach 30,000. June 11 still fresh in my mind Very Happy And it's weekend...taking no chances here.


If you want excitement,deliberately forget your anniversary.
Re: ALSI Trades [message #96812] Fri, 22 June 2012 06:23 Go to previous messageGo to next message
christodeb  South Africa
Messages: 93
Registered: April 2012
Member
Thanks guys. As you said Cfd T, the big picture looks very bad.
Re: ALSI Trades [message #96864] Fri, 22 June 2012 12:44 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Mhlato
Messages: 276
Registered: July 2008
Senior Member
Mhlato wrote on Thu, 21 June 2012 23:15
CFD Trader wrote on Thu, 21 June 2012 23:02
Bugger the stops Soutie, Mhlato and ChristoD no - need on shorts

enjoy the ride down on tha wave - it's free money


Nope, i have 2 deals, one @ 30520 and 30720 with TOPDWS and will
sell if we reach 30,000. June 11 still fresh in my mind Very Happy And it's weekend...taking no chances here.


Call me a chicken, but i am out both trades @ 30175


index.php/fa/6609/0/

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If you want excitement,deliberately forget your anniversary.
Re: ALSI Trades [message #96867] Fri, 22 June 2012 13:31 Go to previous messageGo to next message
christodeb  South Africa
Messages: 93
Registered: April 2012
Member
Mhlato wrote on Fri, 22 June 2012 12:44
Mhlato wrote on Thu, 21 June 2012 23:15
CFD Trader wrote on Thu, 21 June 2012 23:02
Bugger the stops Soutie, Mhlato and ChristoD no - need on shorts

enjoy the ride down on tha wave - it's free money


Nope, i have 2 deals, one @ 30520 and 30720 with TOPDWS and will
sell if we reach 30,000. June 11 still fresh in my mind Very Happy And it's weekend...taking no chances here.


Call me a chicken, but i am out both trades @ 30175


index.php/fa/6609/0/


I'm going to tie my hands to the table not to close this trade until the 29000 level or lower!

[Updated on: Fri, 22 June 2012 13:32]

Re: ALSI Trades [message #96868] Fri, 22 June 2012 13:38 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Argento  South Africa
Messages: 564
Registered: February 2010
Senior Member
Watch out for that 29180 level (uptrend line from 2009) to hold and rally back from there till Aug/Sept, but only from July when the 2 yr cycle bottoms!

But that level will crack later on eitherway..and then it is bye bye!(wedge formation attached)

A

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Re: ALSI Trades [message #96869] Fri, 22 June 2012 13:41 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Argento  South Africa
Messages: 564
Registered: February 2010
Senior Member
Better view!

A

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Re: ALSI Trades [message #96870] Fri, 22 June 2012 13:49 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Argento  South Africa
Messages: 564
Registered: February 2010
Senior Member
Another interesting chart...if you think we have seen our lows for the year think twice!!

A

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Re: ALSI Trades [message #96871] Fri, 22 June 2012 13:54 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Argento  South Africa
Messages: 564
Registered: February 2010
Senior Member
Last one...for the longer term.

If you look closely it has just only given a short signal for what is to come..!

A

Re: ALSI Trades [message #96902] Mon, 25 June 2012 15:29 Go to previous messageGo to next message
christodeb  South Africa
Messages: 93
Registered: April 2012
Member
I'm still hanging on to this one!

Would it be wise to take profit now and re-enter short with a little bounce at about 30100? Everything still points to a lower overall market, but it might help squeeze out a bit more profit to do it that way.
Re: ALSI Trades [message #96959] Tue, 26 June 2012 15:36 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Randall Stevens  South Africa
Messages: 1134
Registered: October 2009
Location: Johannesburg
Senior Member
Well I'm long the ALSI a bit lower than where it is trading now. I know where my stop loss is. Downward momentum has slowed on my medium term charts and is upward on my intraday charts.

RS

[Updated on: Tue, 26 June 2012 15:47]


Once we realize that imperfect understanding is the human condition there is no shame in being wrong, only in failing to correct our mistakes. - George Soros


Re: ALSI Trades [message #96962] Tue, 26 June 2012 15:58 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Peter Pan  South Africa
Messages: 272
Registered: September 2011
Location: North West
Senior Member
Randall Stevens wrote on Tue, 26 June 2012 15:36
Well I'm long the ALSI a bit lower than where it is trading now. I know where my stop loss is. Downward momentum has slowed on my medium term charts and is upward on my intraday charts.

RS


Me too, but we need a little fuel!
Re: ALSI Trades [message #96964] Tue, 26 June 2012 16:29 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Randall Stevens  South Africa
Messages: 1134
Registered: October 2009
Location: Johannesburg
Senior Member
We might have to ride out a bit of choppy trade ...

RS


Once we realize that imperfect understanding is the human condition there is no shame in being wrong, only in failing to correct our mistakes. - George Soros


Re: ALSI Trades [message #96988] Wed, 27 June 2012 11:49 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Randall Stevens  South Africa
Messages: 1134
Registered: October 2009
Location: Johannesburg
Senior Member
Randall Stevens wrote on Tue, 26 June 2012 15:36
Well I'm long the ALSI a bit lower than where it is trading now. I know where my stop loss is. Downward momentum has slowed on my medium term charts and is upward on my intraday charts.

RS


Stopped out at 29,625

With hindsight, yesterday's choppy trade wasn't some form of a base forming. Momentum, short & medium term, still favouring the bears.

RS


Once we realize that imperfect understanding is the human condition there is no shame in being wrong, only in failing to correct our mistakes. - George Soros


Re: ALSI Trades [message #96989] Wed, 27 June 2012 12:13 Go to previous messageGo to next message
christodeb  South Africa
Messages: 93
Registered: April 2012
Member
As I see it one needs to favour the bear market as most of the information points to a lower overall market with all the issues over the world.

I do however think that one should target small rapid movements in the alsi with small positions and quick exits. At this point I'm shorting the bounces with tight stops.
Re: ALSI Trades [message #97037] Thu, 28 June 2012 11:50 Go to previous messageGo to next message
clovis  United States
Messages: 47
Registered: May 2010
Member
I reckon the next hour or so may be very important. Futures trading at 29400. A break below 29350 would signal heavy selling to high 28s. I think it'll break.
Re: ALSI Trades [message #97038] Thu, 28 June 2012 11:56 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Argento  South Africa
Messages: 564
Registered: February 2010
Senior Member
Possible H&S at play with downside target 28235, also on the SPX with target 1245/1250, 2 year cycle low is doing its thing!

That should put in a intermediate low...for now!

A

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Re: ALSI Trades [message #97056] Thu, 28 June 2012 15:09 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Randall Stevens  South Africa
Messages: 1134
Registered: October 2009
Location: Johannesburg
Senior Member
Near dated Alsi futures may close below their 200 day MA for the first time this year.

There have been a couple of days where we've traded below the 200 day MA intraday, but closed above it. Today we may close below the 200 day MA.

RS


Once we realize that imperfect understanding is the human condition there is no shame in being wrong, only in failing to correct our mistakes. - George Soros


Re: ALSI Trades [message #97099] Fri, 29 June 2012 10:07 Go to previous messageGo to previous message
Randall Stevens  South Africa
Messages: 1134
Registered: October 2009
Location: Johannesburg
Senior Member
index.php/fa/6630/0/

The near dated ALSI future closed below the 200 day MA (magenta line) for the 1st time this year on Thursday. Six down days in a row, with the last day looking like the bulls capitulated to some extent.

Odds are we'll have an inside day today with things only getting clearer on Monday.

RS


Once we realize that imperfect understanding is the human condition there is no shame in being wrong, only in failing to correct our mistakes. - George Soros


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