Stopped out on my KIO long this morning....
After yesterdays tussle at R460ish didn't expect we would see below R450...till post divi.
Also there's little volume to explain today's drop.
What I'm saying is.... I is confused....
My brother in law is in the iron ore mining business. KIO faces significant profitability problems for a while to come. The ore belt they are digging slopes down and narrows, which means that the depth and amount of overburden that has to be removed in order to get at the ore increases. They are spending big bucks on new and better equipment to try and get past this issue.Future profitability looks like it wont be anywhere near the levels achieved for last few years. Add to this KIO's inherent volatility could make this a really risky long as opposed to a less risky short sale on a rally.
At the moment KIO is being carried by a weak rand and a possible nice divi, not promising operational efficiencies as in the past, then add the recent China slowdown, its biggest customer, and maybe its not such a surprise to see price weakness.
Use it, lose it.