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#1 Snippit

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Posted 25 August 2021 - 09:27 PM

JSE Top 40 Index – J200

 

 

The sideways uncertainty has continued. This daily view takes the more probable assumption of an extending Primary [3] now entering Intermediate (3). This gives the possibility that there will yet be alternation between [2] and [4] and the ratio of the price actions of [1] and [3] will be within the typical range.

 

https://el834862649....-40-index-j200/

 

top40-d-250821.png?w=1024

 

 


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#2 RBM

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Posted 02 July 2021 - 03:45 PM

TRADER's Goal break down tracker - perfect for setting, tracking & achieving TRADING goals! 

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#3 Snippit

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Posted 24 May 2021 - 01:03 PM

Many will choose to deny this reality due to the amount of pain it will cause. Markets are currently so far disconnected from reality. Do you have an estimated duration till bottom target?

"The correction was sharp at 3 years duration for the 1929 event. The Elliott theory expects alternation of successive corrective patterns and so a 9 year period is more probable this time."


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#4 RailRoad

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Posted 24 May 2021 - 11:37 AM

JSE Top 40 Index – J200

 

https://el834862649....-40-index-j200/

 

The weekly chart sees Cycle V in progress.

 

j200-w-200521.png?w=1024

 

The daily chart sees Primary [5] being birthed.

 

j200-d-210521a.png?w=1024

 

The above charts reflect the current surprise recovery following 5 years of stagnant sideways action. Unfortunately the castle is built on sand as pointed to by [3] < [1] which requires [5] < [3] . The 5th wave is often confounding, especially the 5th of the 5th. The top will be the delayed SuperCycle top. The correction will be memorable.

 

Many will choose to deny this reality due to the amount of pain it will cause. Markets are currently so far disconnected from reality. Do you have an estimated duration till bottom target?


Edited by RailRoad, 24 May 2021 - 11:40 AM.

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#5 Snippit

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Posted 21 May 2021 - 12:36 PM

JSE Top 40 Index – J200

 

https://el834862649....-40-index-j200/

 

The weekly chart sees Cycle V in progress.

 

j200-w-200521.png?w=1024

 

The daily chart sees Primary [5] being birthed.

 

j200-d-210521a.png?w=1024

 

The above charts reflect the current surprise recovery following 5 years of stagnant sideways action. Unfortunately the castle is built on sand as pointed to by [3] < [1] which requires [5] < [3] . The 5th wave is often confounding, especially the 5th of the 5th. The top will be the delayed SuperCycle top. The correction will be memorable.

 

 

 


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  1. Trusting strangers on an anonymous chat forum can be a risky business. Even more risky than the stock market.
  2. I have tried to warn the vulnerable, being those without adequate savvy: e.g.: https://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/sharechat-warning.html
  3. Vultures circle hereabouts. Give them control and say goodbye to your money. 
  4. Learning links: http://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/trader-links.html

 


#6 Snippit

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Posted 28 January 2021 - 09:08 AM

ALSI Swix, JN43

 

https://el834862649....alsi-swix-jn43/

 

 

Supercycle correction (IV) is not in any hurry as it continues to await some company of a global nature. The aberration of the B Cycle signals that the controlling magic bubble is punctured and has commenced an expected slow loss of gas. The prospect of a C Cycle of 1.62 of the A Cycle is illustrated.

 

jn43-d-270121-1.png?w=1024

 

vigilate vestri tergum


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  1. Trusting strangers on an anonymous chat forum can be a risky business. Even more risky than the stock market.
  2. I have tried to warn the vulnerable, being those without adequate savvy: e.g.: https://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/sharechat-warning.html
  3. Vultures circle hereabouts. Give them control and say goodbye to your money. 
  4. Learning links: http://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/trader-links.html

 


#7 Snippit

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Posted 28 December 2020 - 08:06 AM

Top 40 Swix - Satrix ETF

 

The bear trend correcton algos appear to be on holiday.

 

 

stxtop40swix-w-241220.png?w=975

 


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  1. Trusting strangers on an anonymous chat forum can be a risky business. Even more risky than the stock market.
  2. I have tried to warn the vulnerable, being those without adequate savvy: e.g.: https://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/sharechat-warning.html
  3. Vultures circle hereabouts. Give them control and say goodbye to your money. 
  4. Learning links: http://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/trader-links.html

 


#8 Snippit

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Posted 27 October 2020 - 11:38 AM

JSE, All Share Index, J203

 

This daily chart plots the course of the Supercycle correction that I have been observing. It is now approaching the completion of 3 years in service.

 

https://el834862649....are-index-j203/

 

j203-d-271020.png?w=1024

 

This first of the 3 larger legs is Cycle A. The projection indicates the prospective target of the 1.62 Fib ratio of Primary [A] for Primary [C]. This compares closely with the ratio of the Intermediate © leg to the associated Intermediate [A] leg.

This could be caused by another and even longer full scale lockdown due to another strain of the virus, already called C-21 by some and even predicted by Mr & Mrs Gates. But I don’t even know how to spell conspiracy. No doubt those in-the-know will buy the dip, like they did before.

 

 

 


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  1. Trusting strangers on an anonymous chat forum can be a risky business. Even more risky than the stock market.
  2. I have tried to warn the vulnerable, being those without adequate savvy: e.g.: https://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/sharechat-warning.html
  3. Vultures circle hereabouts. Give them control and say goodbye to your money. 
  4. Learning links: http://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/trader-links.html

 


#9 Snippit

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Posted 30 July 2020 - 08:24 PM

JSE, ALSI, J203
The All Share Index puts in an impressive Intermediate (A) leg of the Primary [B] of the Cycle of this Super cycle (IV) bear trend.

https://jsecharts.bl...-alsi-j203.html

 

j203-d-300720.png

 

rationes vitae traduceret

 

cycle.png

 

 


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  1. Trusting strangers on an anonymous chat forum can be a risky business. Even more risky than the stock market.
  2. I have tried to warn the vulnerable, being those without adequate savvy: e.g.: https://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/sharechat-warning.html
  3. Vultures circle hereabouts. Give them control and say goodbye to your money. 
  4. Learning links: http://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/trader-links.html

 


#10 Snippit

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Posted 14 July 2020 - 04:11 PM

JSE, ALSI Swix, JN43
The ALSI Swix has arrived at the 61.8% retrace target. Indications of a significant turning point for most everything abound.

https://jsecharts.bl...-swix-jn43.html

 

jn43-d-140720.png

 

Don't get suckered

 


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  1. Trusting strangers on an anonymous chat forum can be a risky business. Even more risky than the stock market.
  2. I have tried to warn the vulnerable, being those without adequate savvy: e.g.: https://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/sharechat-warning.html
  3. Vultures circle hereabouts. Give them control and say goodbye to your money. 
  4. Learning links: http://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/trader-links.html

 


#11 Snippit

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Posted 08 June 2020 - 02:41 PM

MSCI Global ETF (Rands)  

The same weekly chart as before (below) has generated an excuse for an Intermediate 5th wave (visible on a hourly chart) which, if taken seriously, gives a reason for the apparent madness. The internals of [3] are playing a different chord which sounds better to me. Turnings are seen as still being indicated for XAU/USD, USD/ZAR, J150, GLD, and SPX  although there are sure to be many more. 

https://jsecharts.bl...-etf-rands.html

 

msciwld-w-080620.png

 

nolite facere quicquam

 

nuts.jpg


Edited by Snippit, 08 June 2020 - 02:42 PM.

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  1. Trusting strangers on an anonymous chat forum can be a risky business. Even more risky than the stock market.
  2. I have tried to warn the vulnerable, being those without adequate savvy: e.g.: https://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/sharechat-warning.html
  3. Vultures circle hereabouts. Give them control and say goodbye to your money. 
  4. Learning links: http://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/trader-links.html

 


#12 Pilotpilot

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Posted 29 May 2020 - 02:56 PM

Cool. I hereby bestow upon you free life membership of my fan club. You are both the first life member and first ordinary member. Its all yours so you are also in the Chair. Enjoy.

  :D  :D  :D  Love it!!! I'm honored!


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#13 Snippit

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Posted 29 May 2020 - 01:26 PM

Like the whole post and enjoy your comments........ and I love Hedgeye's witty sense of humor!

 

Thanks for sharing.....

 

Cool. I hereby bestow upon you free life membership of my fan club. You are both the first life member and first ordinary member. Its all yours so you are also in the Chair. Enjoy.


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  1. Trusting strangers on an anonymous chat forum can be a risky business. Even more risky than the stock market.
  2. I have tried to warn the vulnerable, being those without adequate savvy: e.g.: https://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/sharechat-warning.html
  3. Vultures circle hereabouts. Give them control and say goodbye to your money. 
  4. Learning links: http://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/trader-links.html

 


#14 Pilotpilot

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Posted 28 May 2020 - 08:31 AM

MSCI Global ETF (Rands)

Not the ALSI but a related species with occasional influence.
Here is a weekly chart for the Global MSCI ETF in Rands. It appears to have topped out of Cycle V. 
Primary wave [1] is longest and [5] is accordingly the shortest. It appears to be overly elevated like most 5th waves appear. And yet it tentatively awaits some further confirmation of the expected impact of the global lockdown madness or some second wave panic stations and does not want to leave its station without good cause.
On the other hand the hope is that the unprecedented liquidity injections can enable a resurgence of buybacks so as to create the false impressions as usual. More important is that the usual recipients of free cash can buy up the indices and then the economy can go do whatever it wants and zombie scarecrows will rule again.
To be expected after over a decade of the same thing. Most traders have never known anything different. 

 

 

https://jsecharts.bl...-etf-rands.html

 

msciwld-w-270520.png

 

A caestu praeiudicatum

 

distant.jpg

 

 

Like the whole post and enjoy your comments........ and I love Hedgeye's witty sense of humor!

 

Thanks for sharing.....


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#15 Snippit

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Posted 27 May 2020 - 03:30 PM

MSCI Global ETF (Rands)
Not the ALSI but a related species with occasional influence.
Here is a weekly chart for the Global MSCI ETF in Rands. It appears to have topped out of Cycle V. 
Primary wave [1] is longest and [5] is accordingly the shortest. It appears to be overly elevated like most 5th waves appear. And yet it tentatively awaits some further confirmation of the expected impact of the global lockdown madness or some second wave panic stations and does not want to leave its station without good cause.
On the other hand the hope is that the unprecedented liquidity injections can enable a resurgence of buybacks so as to create the false impressions as usual. More important is that the usual recipients of free cash can buy up the indices and then the economy can go do whatever it wants and zombie scarecrows will rule again.
To be expected after over a decade of the same thing. Most traders have never known anything different. 

 

 

https://jsecharts.bl...-etf-rands.html

 

msciwld-w-270520.png

 

A caestu praeiudicatum

 

distant.jpg

 

 


  • 0
  1. Trusting strangers on an anonymous chat forum can be a risky business. Even more risky than the stock market.
  2. I have tried to warn the vulnerable, being those without adequate savvy: e.g.: https://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/sharechat-warning.html
  3. Vultures circle hereabouts. Give them control and say goodbye to your money. 
  4. Learning links: http://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/trader-links.html

 


#16 Snippit

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Posted 11 May 2020 - 11:26 AM

ALSI Futures

This daily chart for ALSI futures shows the resistance. A bucket of cold water is overdue. The algos will feel a chill in their cloud.

https://jsecharts.bl...si-futures.html

 

ALSI-Jun20-d-110520.png

 

facilis desideraturus

 

roots.jpg

 

dead roots


Edited by Snippit, 11 May 2020 - 11:30 AM.

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  1. Trusting strangers on an anonymous chat forum can be a risky business. Even more risky than the stock market.
  2. I have tried to warn the vulnerable, being those without adequate savvy: e.g.: https://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/sharechat-warning.html
  3. Vultures circle hereabouts. Give them control and say goodbye to your money. 
  4. Learning links: http://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/trader-links.html

 


#17 Snippit

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Posted 11 May 2020 - 11:16 AM

USD/ZAR
This hourly chart for the Rand/USD pair shows the development of Minor wave 4 and the indications for uptrend (Rand weakening) resumption.

https://jsecharts.bl.../05/usdzar.html

 

usdzar-60-110520.png

 

cave cerebrum damnum

 

 

 


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  1. Trusting strangers on an anonymous chat forum can be a risky business. Even more risky than the stock market.
  2. I have tried to warn the vulnerable, being those without adequate savvy: e.g.: https://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/sharechat-warning.html
  3. Vultures circle hereabouts. Give them control and say goodbye to your money. 
  4. Learning links: http://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/trader-links.html

 


#18 Snippit

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Posted 08 May 2020 - 01:47 PM

ALSI Swix, JN43

The bounce arrived at the 1.62 extension but is seemingly reluctant to let some of the hot air out. Should it continue to huff and puff then the next significant resistance is at the 61.8% retrace. Such levitation can be from further Rand weakening.
Much is overpriced whilst fear of the unknown got turfed a while back and expectations are floating on cloud 9.

https://jsecharts.bl...-swix-jn43.html

 

jn43-d-080520.png

 

nolite oblivisci obseres

 

 

05.07.2020_earnings_cartoon.png


Edited by Snippit, 08 May 2020 - 01:48 PM.

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  1. Trusting strangers on an anonymous chat forum can be a risky business. Even more risky than the stock market.
  2. I have tried to warn the vulnerable, being those without adequate savvy: e.g.: https://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/sharechat-warning.html
  3. Vultures circle hereabouts. Give them control and say goodbye to your money. 
  4. Learning links: http://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/trader-links.html

 


#19 Snippit

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Posted 08 May 2020 - 01:46 PM

ALSI Swix, JN43
The bounce arrived at the 1.62 extension but is seemingly reluctant to let some of the hot air out. Should it continue to huff and puff then the next significant resistance is at the 61.8% retrace. Such levitation can be from further Rand weakening. Much is overpriced whilst fear of the unknown got turfed a while back and expectations are floating on cloud 9.

https://jsecharts.bl...-swix-jn43.html

 

jn43-d-080520.png

 

nolite oblivisci obseres

 

 

05.07.2020_earnings_cartoon.png


  • 0
  1. Trusting strangers on an anonymous chat forum can be a risky business. Even more risky than the stock market.
  2. I have tried to warn the vulnerable, being those without adequate savvy: e.g.: https://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/sharechat-warning.html
  3. Vultures circle hereabouts. Give them control and say goodbye to your money. 
  4. Learning links: http://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/trader-links.html

 


#20 Snippit

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Posted 20 March 2020 - 08:39 AM

JSE, ALSI Swix, JN43
Update 19th March:
This update of the ALSI Swix index sees the completion of Cycle A of the Supercycle correction and thereby the turning point into the bear trend correction of Cycle B.
 
 
jn43-d-190320.png
 
rursus circa

 


  • 0
  1. Trusting strangers on an anonymous chat forum can be a risky business. Even more risky than the stock market.
  2. I have tried to warn the vulnerable, being those without adequate savvy: e.g.: https://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/sharechat-warning.html
  3. Vultures circle hereabouts. Give them control and say goodbye to your money. 
  4. Learning links: http://swrict.blogspot.com/2018/11/trader-links.html

 






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