A little advice please. How do we see this election affecting the markets. Any affect at all? Risk off? Rand fluctuations? Etc. I've never traded through an election before.
More a play on the forex markets IMO.
31 votes
ALSI Trades
Started by
Plasma
, Apr 03 2013 09:05 PM
35854 replies to this topic
#20081
AJS
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Posted 05 May 2014 - 12:10 PM
"Trade what you see, not what you think"
#20082
strydomk
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Posted 05 May 2014 - 12:07 PM
A little advice please. How do we see this election affecting the markets. Any affect at all? Risk off? Rand fluctuations? Etc. I've never traded through an election before.
#20083
delta66
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"Veni, vidi, vici"
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Posted 05 May 2014 - 11:03 AM
greedy little order long 43890..scalp tp 44000
“melior diabolus quem scies”
#20084
Argento
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Posted 05 May 2014 - 10:27 AM
A little more work on the right shoulder and we should have a nice bullish inverted H&S for the last push up into Thursday...44800ish TOP40F?
The bear armies are assembling.....! 
Important cycles topping later this week and should kick off the long awaited down move..most indexes topping with an ending diagonal..SPX 1920ish??!!
Fingers tight.....
A
Edited by Argento, 05 May 2014 - 10:28 AM.
"Never never never give up!"
#20085
delta66
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"Veni, vidi, vici"
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Posted 05 May 2014 - 09:22 AM
100+p swings roughly on hourly!...gotta love the volatility 
“melior diabolus quem scies”
#20086
Wingnut
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Posted 05 May 2014 - 09:13 AM
The evidence of probability for any direction is far too weak for me. Time to sit on my hands. I would think its top heavy, but can never underestimate the stupidity of the market. 
#20087
delta66
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"Veni, vidi, vici"
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Posted 05 May 2014 - 09:00 AM
if order is filled from 44050(T40 cash) risk/reward ratio imo is good
out 43910/140points..now looking direction 
“melior diabolus quem scies”
#20088
Vertebrae
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Posted 05 May 2014 - 07:45 AM
I want my short possie in already..I think it will move down way to fast to get in an order at a satisfactory price
Recent pullback was weakest in this leg of the ongoing bull, so now Caldaro expects it to run on some more...
http://caldaro.wordp...end-update-447/
Africa will never be regarded as adult until all of its organisations stop admiring and protecting criminal dictators.
MSM et al presents (sponsored) opinion as fact and seeks to indoctrinate. Journalists without ethics proliferate in a swamp of filthy lucre (BBC inclusive).
In response to decades of racism by fearful minority whites called apartheid there will be an eternity of racism by revengeful majority blacks called all kinds of excuses.
Corruption is not yet compulsory but it may as well be - Aggressive africanization uses the racist Employment Equity Act as a club.
Too many humans are too busy copulating to bother about the irresponsible, unsustainable and progressively catastrophic population explosion.
Whilst humanity prevails so will evil. Evil will survive and thrive through sophisticated indoctrination and other conscience-suppressing disguises.
Desmond Tutu has been praying for the downfall of the ANC since 2011. Clearly he needs some assistance with such a difficult and worthy task..
Cockroaches still lurk on sharechat because it is prime real estate for their con artistry, duping and grand theft.
#20089
Shortboy
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Posted 03 May 2014 - 07:12 PM
Hope you make your 8000-11000 plus points out of your trade GB!
I offloaded the "stop loss" long I opened on evening of 1 May @ 43935 during Argento's (bless him!) Fri. afternoon, high probability, short covering @ 44066 and 44060. Am still holding a couple of out of the money shorts at 43 889 and 43 892 which I may add to. Naturally, I will also be opening a counter long on any significant dips, just in case Mr Market takes an opposite view....which in my case, from experience, is almost guaranteed.
Error corrected.
IG SA40
#20090
Shortboy
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Posted 03 May 2014 - 07:00 PM
My short is in at 44082
Hope you make your 8000-11000 plus points out of your trade GB!
I offloaded the "stop loss" long I opened on evening of 1 May @ 43935 during Argento's (bless him!) Fri. afternoon, high probability, short covering @ 44066 and 44060. Am still holding a couple of out of the money shorts at 43 889 and 42 892 which I may add to. Naturally, I will also be opening a counter long on any significant dips, just in case Mr Market takes an opposite view....which in my case, from experience, is almost guaranteed.
IG SA40
#20091
Vertebrae
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Posted 03 May 2014 - 11:04 AM
Some say the US labour stats are not telling it straight up...
Meanwhile, lest we forget the geopolitics...
Could the fall out encourage a Draghi QE follow through?...what effect would that have?...
Never mind all that, we got more important things, we got an election!
#20092
Plasma
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Posted 02 May 2014 - 06:56 PM
Your strategy has to be flexible enough to change when the environment changes. The mistake most people make is they keep the same strategy all the time. They say, “Damn, the market didn’t behave the way I thought it would.” Why should it? Life and the markets just don’t work that way. - Mark Weinstein
The first goal is to ensure survival – avoid the risks that can empty your account and put you out of the trading business. 
#20093
Vertebrae
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Posted 02 May 2014 - 05:48 PM
Chubby's - CCI w Red Bikini tops - all previous divergences ( on this graph, did not check further back) , except most recent , were falling from first of the tops and with bigger down swing on T40 followed - most recent divergence is UP ! any comment?
Mathematically - flatter tops in source data produce bumpier channel plots - blurb zone: http://en.wikipedia....y_channel_index
On the psychological plane the pattern suggests expectations normalising (less disbelief) to me
Africa will never be regarded as adult until all of its organisations stop admiring and protecting criminal dictators.
MSM et al presents (sponsored) opinion as fact and seeks to indoctrinate. Journalists without ethics proliferate in a swamp of filthy lucre (BBC inclusive).
In response to decades of racism by fearful minority whites called apartheid there will be an eternity of racism by revengeful majority blacks called all kinds of excuses.
Corruption is not yet compulsory but it may as well be - Aggressive africanization uses the racist Employment Equity Act as a club.
Too many humans are too busy copulating to bother about the irresponsible, unsustainable and progressively catastrophic population explosion.
Whilst humanity prevails so will evil. Evil will survive and thrive through sophisticated indoctrination and other conscience-suppressing disguises.
Desmond Tutu has been praying for the downfall of the ANC since 2011. Clearly he needs some assistance with such a difficult and worthy task..
Cockroaches still lurk on sharechat because it is prime real estate for their con artistry, duping and grand theft.
#20094
OceanWalz
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Posted 02 May 2014 - 05:05 PM
Hi , does anyone know the stats/ seasonals for T40 and SP500 for next week? Thanks -
#20095
delta66
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"Veni, vidi, vici"
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Posted 02 May 2014 - 04:27 PM
Shorters prepare for pain.
u sure about that?..
“melior diabolus quem scies”
#20096
K~~
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Posted 02 May 2014 - 04:20 PM
Shorters prepare for pain.
Sitting quite comfortable on the rack, thanks! 
"The Stock Market is never obvious. It is designed to fool most of the people, most of the time." - Jesse Livermore.
#20097
farouk
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The Oracle
Posted 02 May 2014 - 04:18 PM
Shorters prepare for pain.
#20098
OceanWalz
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Posted 02 May 2014 - 03:14 PM
everyone was waiting for the NFP numbers - now they are out and why isn't the horse bolting?? do we wait until 3.30pm
- maybe upflare of violence in Ukraine - The tide has turned and Russia just wants back 'its' old provinces - the Russian speakers might be proud to re-unite with Motherland but I think they will be in for a rude awakening when their previously enjoyed democracy rights is severely curtailed after joining Russia!
#20099
OceanWalz
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Posted 02 May 2014 - 03:04 PM
Chubby's - CCI w Red Bikini tops - all previous divergences ( on this graph, did not check further back) , except most recent , were falling from first of the tops and with bigger down swing on T40 followed - most recent divergence is UP ! any comment?
Attached Files
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South Africa 40 Cash - daily CCi notice most recent divergence line.png 101.85KB
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#20100
bear catcher
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Posted 02 May 2014 - 02:47 PM
Well there we have the good numbers now what? Alsi looks...
IG CASH
