35854 replies to this topic

[Argento]

Beware the Ides - take heed and time it

 

http://tinyurl.com/pphqtzx

And your answer...

 

http://www.moneyweb....-wall-streeters

 

A

[pjr@]

Beware the Ides - take heed and time it

 

http://tinyurl.com/pphqtzx

 

 

[Argento]

1) Moving within a new bull channel..

2) Bullish weekly reversal candle in place...

3) Moving into a seasonally bullish time period...

 

Don't see any short signals from here...just enjoy the Green Express (waves)!

 

A

[Lekkerry]

shap

 

What moves the Alsi? The underlying shares.

Who is the largest part of the market? Funds.

When funds receive money, they have to invest it in what their mandate says, only when the investor takes his/her money out, does the fund close that position.

So it can be presumed that when the market drops, it is only a stage that the funds aren't buying.

I dont see any reason any investor will take his/her money out of funds at the moment.

 

We will have to see a big interest rate increase, bad growth, or some black swan event to get investors to close their fund positions.

 

So the largest participant in the market, is not allowed to sell, until mom and pop says sell.

 

IMO.

[Beorn]

Yah well, tell that to the ALSI Top40.

 

What moves the Alsi? The underlying shares.

Who is the largest part of the market? Funds.

When funds receive money, they have to invest it in what their mandate says, only when the investor takes his/her money out, does the fund close that position.

So it can be presumed that when the market drops, it is only a stage that the funds aren't buying.

I dont see any reason any investor will take his/her money out of funds at the moment.

 

We will have to see a big interest rate increase, bad growth, or some black swan event to get investors to close their fund positions.

 

So the largest participant in the market, is not allowed to sell, until mom and pop says sell.

 

IMO.

[skayfe]

Correct, only price pays.
 

Yah well, tell that to the ALSI Top40.

[Lekkerry]

Yah well, tell that to the ALSI Top40.

 

SA is in a world of hurt IMO.

[HDB]

for once..we in agreement   ZAR in for hiding this year

yeah but whose listening in this forum. Ive been singing this tune for months and when i see forumers going long, i just can wait to steal their monies. Im short shp at 190, tfg at 115,whl at 75 , tru at 90 and dont intent closing any at moment.

[delta66]

short retailers and banks!!!!!

for once..we in agreement   ZAR in for hiding this year

[HDB]

Ok,
so I think we all agree that Gill Markus pushed up the interest rate as a sign that she wont hesitate to act against the ZAR tanking that hard, so now that the ZAR is tanking again, will she increase the rate again?
Nothing is going to stop the ZAR's demise. Not while US & Brits are cutting there QE.
The ZAR is actually not getting a lot weaker, rather, the $ and GBP are getting stronger.
 
SA is in a world of hurt IMO.
Bond sales to internationals are drying up (due to money printing stopping), now we have nothing to finance our current account deficit, the ZAR will tank, inflation is already taking hold, Gill Markus has no choice but to raise rates, which will put more strain on consumers.
i dont see anything good happening in SA.
 
Hopefully I am just a pessimist.

short retailers and banks!!!!!

[Beorn]

Ok,

so I think we all agree that Gill Markus pushed up the interest rate as a sign that she wont hesitate to act against the ZAR tanking that hard, so now that the ZAR is tanking again, will she increase the rate again?

Nothing is going to stop the ZAR's demise. Not while US & Brits are cutting there QE.

The ZAR is actually not getting a lot weaker, rather, the $ and GBP are getting stronger.

 

SA is in a world of hurt IMO.

Bond sales to internationals are drying up (due to money printing stopping), now we have nothing to finance our current account deficit, the ZAR will tank, inflation is already taking hold, Gill Markus has no choice but to raise rates, which will put more strain on consumers.

i dont see anything good happening in SA.

 

Hopefully I am just a pessimist. 

[skayfe]

Closed and back in short @ 41930

 Well played.

[JBlack]

Selling day...

 

BTW for those who are interested, talking about money - the IPL auction is a hoot! http://www.espncrici...ory/718095.html

[Beorn]

Closed the rest of my short and long @ 41715

 

Closed and back in short @ 41930

[Beorn]

I just read a shocking article.

 

A guy "Burnham" has withdrawn a mil$ from Bank of America. They pay him 0 interest, but apparently, there are conditions to BofA being able to pay out his mil. There should not be a lot of people withdrawing there money, (bank Run) and if the investments that BofA made with his money turned bad, they wont be able to pay out his mil. The have a ratio of investing 90% of deposits? Can that be correct? WTF? and they pay him 0 interest? I will surely stash my money under the bed!

[Beorn]

Closed half of my shorts @ 41640

 

I don't trust this gap down open.

 

Closed the rest of my short and long @ 41715

[AJS]

Closed half of my shorts @ 41640

 

I don't trust this gap down open.

 

Well done Jakes, made some sound calls!

[Beorn]

Added some more @ 41845

 

Closed half of my shorts @ 41640

 

I don't trust this gap down open.

[Lamarje]

Im with you on the short...whats ur target? Im looking at the 41200 level

I want to go short but Yellen keeps stopping my party....my target is 41350...weekly resistance

[AJS]

Tweezer top S&P hourlies?

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