I've maintained QE doesn't end till fed starts taking back. Tomorrow I think they take back, and Janet said 2 rate hikes this year. And 4 months left??? We all assume that QE end would start popping the bubble. And charts are starting to say the same..! Just my opinion!
Take back is not enough to start the tumble in my view, China on the other hand could very well get it all started,
In my view the bubble is the whole US economy at the moment, and the protection system for this huge mistake is the Dollar, in order to see this bubble go there needs to be a change in the dollar and at the moment the US is blowing huge amounts of hot air into the dollar, A really big fall in china, followed by a contagion effect through the world, may well cause the dollar to have problems, and if you cant print more money the US has a problem.
Seeing the kind of action the Chinese seem to be prepared to take regarding the stock market could very well activate a run on the markets, if i were to look for a location for the start of a burst i would look east, then the US and then the rest of us.
China property bubble is a good place to start the bust, add unregulated banking that will fall right behind the property bubble and you have the catalyst.
G