3674 replies to this topic

[BlythZ]

Well done..see u learning fast!!

Thanks HDB, wasn't too sure if i was correct hence the 50% margin of error. Hope to make some good money now that you are back 

[HDB]

I am with you BlythZ.  It looks very green from IMO.   Pound at 18.25 at the moment.   I have a question.   Why is their an over 400 point difference between the ALSI and IG Cash?   Shouldn't the 2 indexes be closes to each other?

difference of +-440 point as of this morning

[BlythZ]

Howzit guys,,,,Lets play!!

 

OUV at 7.45am is 46800

 

IG is 46450

 

dont think it will get there but :

 

100 p no risk trade

 

150 p low risk trade..

 

You take the risk according to your money management!!

Welcome Back HDB, you were dearly missed on this forum

[BlythZ]

I am with you BlythZ.  It looks very green from IMO.   Pound at 18.25 at the moment.   I have a question.   Why is their an over 400 point difference between the ALSI and IG Cash?   Shouldn't the 2 indexes be closes to each other?

Yesterday there was a very good dividend on Cash, 95pips if i am not mistaken and the Futures is now December so the difference is the interest and dividends factored in till December futures close out, at least that is what i understand.

 

The 2 indexes will be closer to each other the closer we get to December futures close out

[MiniTrader]

Welcome back HDB.   Really missed you.  Thanks for the UOV.

[HDB]

Lets try an OUV with just the 2 factors that we were to adjust for.

1. FTSE went up about 60pips since close yesterday, so 60 * 6.5 = 390pips on ALSI
2. GBP/ZAR went up by 15cents since close yesterday, so 15 * 12 = 180pips on ALSI

Lets adjust for BHP Billiton (-10.23) and Naspers (+27.94)

Adjust for price movement already factored in up 210pips

So what we should have is 390 + 180 + 27.94 - 10.23 - 210 = 377.71pips

Lets say i am 50% wrong that would leave us with 188pips up.

I am taking this trade, will set a 200pips limit!

P.S make your own judgement before you trade this

 

 

Well done..see u learning fast!!

[HDB]

Howzit guys,,,,Lets play!!

 

OUV at 7.45am is 46800

 

IG is 46450

 

dont think it will get there but :

 

100 p no risk trade

 

150 p low risk trade..

 

You take the risk according to your money management!!

[MiniTrader]

I am with you BlythZ.  It looks very green from IMO.   Pound at 18.25 at the moment.   I have a question.   Why is their an over 400 point difference between the ALSI and IG Cash?   Shouldn't the 2 indexes be closes to each other?

[BlythZ]

Lets try an OUV with just the 2 factors that we were to adjust for.

1. FTSE went up about 60pips since close yesterday, so 60 * 6.5 = 390pips on ALSI
2. GBP/ZAR went up by 15cents since close yesterday, so 15 * 12 = 180pips on ALSI

Lets adjust for BHP Billiton (-10.23) and Naspers (+27.94)

Adjust for price movement already factored in up 210pips

So what we should have is 390 + 180 + 27.94 - 10.23 - 210 = 377.71pips

Lets say i am 50% wrong that would leave us with 188pips up.

I am taking this trade, will set a 200pips limit!

P.S make your own judgement before you trade this

[MiniTrader]

I fully agree with you Blyth.   Glad you got out.   Things look a bit more positive now IMO.  Hope it lasts.

[BlythZ]

Took a long on system at 46450 and out at 46510.   I still miss HDB but feel better now.

I was long from yesterday and was afraid that the loss would continue eating into my profits but price was above 204 EMA and decided to hold on, later on had to step away from my desk so i decided to set a limit of 50 pips * 2 contracts and happy to have bailed out with a profit. 

 

My account would be healthier if HDB was around 

[MiniTrader]

Took a long on system at 46450 and out at 46510.   I still miss HDB but feel better now.

[mx125]

Sorry, brother

Yip, had a good run this month with the system. Would have done even better with the OUV's. Can't wait   

[MiniTrader]

Sorry, brother

[MiniTrader]

Echo that bother.

[BlythZ]

Are we all waiting for HDB to come back? 

 

Let's follow the system rules and make a few bucks in the meantime, can't wait to wake up one morning and see today's OUV is..... no risk trade 100 pips, low risk 150 pips

[mx125]

Broke the 13 & 34 MA, CCI 50 through Zero, it's just the 204ma holding it back

No momentum, it's dead.

[mx125]

Broke the 13 & 34 MA, CCI 50 through Zero, it's just the 204ma holding it back

[Playa]

Testing neckline of H&S broken we go down to pivot (As HDB would say!!

[CPvanWyk]

Tx, going to hartenbos at the beach. Some fishing and swimming