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ALSI Trades


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#20161 Argento

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Posted 30 April 2014 - 10:40 AM

Bullish sentiment persists

Extension of major wave 3 commenced w/o 23rd June 2013.

Within this extension sub wave 3 commenced w/o 8th Dec 2013 from double bottom.

The target of the double bottom is some 700 pips up as I write.

The 3rd sub-sub wave of sub wave 3 has broken and is approaching top out.

That leaves corrective sub sub wave 4 and final sub sub wave 5 (yet to commence) in order to complete sub wave 3 (of 5).

The daily chart has a falling wedge target of 45540 (TOPI)

The weekly chart has a flag pattern objective of 49190 (short term)

Recent days have seen new all-time high with sideways consolidation to support.

Hands up all those who think this market cannot go higher.

Jee whiz – that’s a lot !! and more than I ever expected…

And yet, somehow I think I will just keep buying any dips for now.

Nice and it fits in with the current US Elliott wave pattern as well, calling for the primary wave 3 to end soon (ending diagonal) and the Kress/40 year cycles (made its low in 1934, in 1974, and now scheduled to do so again in 2014) to roll over and take the markets down (primary wave 4) into October!

 

Markets should then rise again for the final primary wave 5 up and new highs to conclude the bullmarket since 2009, thus making this a 8 year bullmarket and match the previous 2 exceptions in history other than your normal 5 year secular bullmarket!

 

I have a target of around 33 000ish on TOP40F, where do you see primary wave 4 going?

 

Thanks

 

A


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#20162 @sirgrantfleming

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Posted 30 April 2014 - 10:37 AM

hi @sirgrantfleming..if npn follows suit(re: tencent) there's bound to be drawdown on our index.  just my opinion.

Agreed - could be good buying opportunity :)


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#20163 Vertebrae

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Posted 30 April 2014 - 09:28 AM

Bullish sentiment persists

Extension of major wave 3 commenced w/o 23rd June 2013.

Within this extension sub wave 3 commenced w/o 8th Dec 2013 from double bottom.

The target of the double bottom is some 700 pips up as I write.

The 3rd sub-sub wave of sub wave 3 has broken and is approaching top out.

That leaves corrective sub sub wave 4 and final sub sub wave 5 (yet to commence) in order to complete sub wave 3 (of 5).

The daily chart has a falling wedge target of 45540 (TOPI)

The weekly chart has a flag pattern objective of 49190 (short term)

Recent days have seen new all-time high with sideways consolidation to support.

Hands up all those who think this market cannot go higher.

Jee whiz – that’s a lot !! and more than I ever expected…

And yet, somehow I think I will just keep buying any dips for now.


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#20164 Argento

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Posted 30 April 2014 - 09:16 AM

Charts are lining up for a nice blow off top c'mon..don't miss it!

 

Think we're going to see green fireworks first week of May!

 

A

Don't short too soon, with sentiment being at this subdued levels (graph attached) mr market normally surprises to the upside and it can bite, we have no proof in the charts the top is in...no weekly reversal candle nor through the bollingerband!

 

Seasonally today could still be weak but come Friday the bulls will take charge...!

 

With GDP figures and FOMC statement released today it should create volatile trade!

 

A


Edited by Argento, 30 April 2014 - 09:18 AM.

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#20165 delta66

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Posted 30 April 2014 - 08:51 AM

tencent down 4% - that not going to drag us down?

hi @sirgrantfleming..if npn follows suit(re: tencent) there's bound to be drawdown on our index.  just my opinion.


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#20166 delta66

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Posted 30 April 2014 - 08:44 AM

anyone entering short under 43820?


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#20167 @sirgrantfleming

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Posted 30 April 2014 - 08:27 AM

This bull is having its final death spasms, gentlemen..

 

A, your Bear Army is finally arriving, three months too late. That Blue stuff must have been really powerful to put them out for that long. But rather late than never!  :rolleyes:

 

K

tencent down 4% - that not going to drag us down?


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#20168 K~~

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Posted 30 April 2014 - 08:06 AM

Agree with you.

We should see new highs very soon.

 

 

Charts are lining up for a nice blow off top c'mon..don't miss it!

 

Think we're going to see green fireworks first week of May!

 

A

This bull is having its final death spasms, gentlemen..

 

A, your Bear Army is finally arriving, three months too late. That Blue stuff must have been really powerful to put them out for that long. But rather late than never!  :rolleyes:

 

K


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#20169 gringots

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Posted 30 April 2014 - 07:44 AM



Do markets go in the direction of expectation?

Or in the direction that will inflict most pain?



What if they the same? ;-P
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"Attitude produces better overall results than analysis or technique, of course the ideal situation is to have both, but you really don't need both, because if you have the right attitude the right mindset then everything else about trading will be relatively easy even simple and certainly a lot more fun." - Mark Douglas, Trading in the Zone.

 

Don't listen to me, I'm a market Rookie.

 


#20170 delta66

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Posted 30 April 2014 - 07:36 AM

stopped out after hours for measly profit now watch/wait game :rolleyes:


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#20171 Beorn

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Posted 30 April 2014 - 12:08 AM

By the look of things.
All expect higher prices.
Do markets go in the direction of expectation?
Or in the direction that will inflict most pain?
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Alsi future

 

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#20172 Vertebrae

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Posted 29 April 2014 - 08:32 PM

What next for R/$?

It looks as easy as ABC to me...

 


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Africa will never be regarded as adult until all of its organisations stop admiring and protecting criminal dictators.

MSM et al presents (sponsored) opinion as fact and seeks to indoctrinate. Journalists without ethics proliferate in a swamp of filthy lucre (BBC inclusive).

In response to decades of racism by fearful minority whites called apartheid there will be an eternity of racism by revengeful majority blacks called all kinds of excuses.

Corruption is not yet compulsory but it may as well be - Aggressive africanization uses the racist Employment Equity Act as a club.

Too many humans are too busy copulating to bother about the irresponsible, unsustainable and progressively catastrophic population explosion. 

Whilst humanity prevails so will evil. Evil will survive and thrive through sophisticated indoctrination and other conscience-suppressing disguises.

Desmond Tutu has been praying for the downfall of the ANC since 2011. Clearly he needs some assistance with such a difficult and worthy task..

Cockroaches still lurk on sharechat because it is prime real estate for their con artistry, duping and grand theft.


#20173 RusQ

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Posted 29 April 2014 - 06:27 PM

anyone kind enough to help me further my education?

 

in what way is 'IG cash' related to the underlying?

 

AlsiJun14 (given interest and fair arbitrage), seems to track J200 - nuttink (ito specific entry/exit levels) you guys post makes no sense to poor me?

 

are we dealing with a marketmaker?

what is the spread like?

who you trade against? the market??

 

best now...


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#20174 Shortboy

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Posted 29 April 2014 - 06:26 PM

Today has been gud yes :) US might end up a bit in the red tonight ( I know they are already 8 points up) but my posi at 1872 is not looking too bad..Maybe they will take us back to that 600 level again..What you think

I don't play S&P so don't have an opinion GB. Lots of important data from Europe, US and China tomorrow. Unless I can position my short/s at a significantly higher level than where we are I think I will bide my time...or maybe buy some dips if any opportunities come up.  


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IG SA40


#20175 farouk

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Posted 29 April 2014 - 05:28 PM

Charts are lining up for a nice blow off top c'mon..don't miss it!

 

Think we're going to see green fireworks first week of May!

 

A

 

Agree with you.

We should see new highs very soon.


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#20176 delta66

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Posted 29 April 2014 - 05:11 PM

still holding cheeky long :P ..in the money but following closely with trailing stops

if not stopped out then target 44055  then short again from that level.


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#20177 Argento

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Posted 29 April 2014 - 05:08 PM

The BKX (US Banks) is starting to diverge from the overall market and that is a sign this bull phase is nearing it's end, but due to rotation new highs into May still awaits...!

 

A

Charts are lining up for a nice blow off top c'mon..don't miss it!

 

Think we're going to see green fireworks first week of May!

 

A


Edited by Argento, 29 April 2014 - 05:09 PM.

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#20178 Shortboy

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Posted 29 April 2014 - 04:44 PM

Gonna grab me some profit @ 43850 and short the same level..Shortboy..CCI now below 100 and we have some negative divergence..You going short?

You had a great day GB. Well done! I offloaded all my shorts this morning and also did quite well. Yes, I see CCI is now in position. Hoping to catch a short entry further up....don't like opening short positions at this time of the day, reduces risk of getting caught in short covering.


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#20179 Argento

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Posted 29 April 2014 - 02:56 PM

The BKX (US Banks) is starting to diverge from the overall market and that is a sign this bull phase is nearing it's end, but due to rotation new highs into May still awaits...!

 

A


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#20180 delta66

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Posted 29 April 2014 - 01:23 PM

pretty sure easy money will be made but annoyed didn't buy the bottom around 43500


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