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[ZoomZ]

HDB

 

here is something to soften your heart. It softened mine.

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[ZoomZ]

and Sunesis

 

holi benoni peloni

a thesis on why the world will end in a flash of mixed amonia, bi carb, colgate and red bull...

 

brother trust me I am with you as a trader and a converted bear..I am a raging bear

 

but those diagrams and narratives are what I have spent years on...I am with you..we are one...look  into my eyes I am a bear.

 

But then we must be able to adjust...and ride the beta the gamma the theta..the omega..ride the swing...it's all okay to expect the 10%..but it will present itself.

 

visibly. vocally. vociferously. vocatiosuly it will stand and shout "....I'mm gonnna correct fecking 10 % now okay...."

"..I really am gonna fall through the Feck,ing floor...I promise it's gonna happen...I am going too bladdy collpase...."

 

then she will

 

until then me and you are hurting together. I am short.

[Sunesis]

Wall Street best Charts

 

 

 

 

[ZoomZ]

and besides where you been ..i am not drinking

 

 

i said 4 hours ago it's these bladdy frogs my daughter finds outside....makes me fly.

 

 

dunno why. but good to try.

[ZoomZ]

Mx 125

 

mate waddya thingk happened....since they banned drinking and driving I gave up my job and started drinking at home..wife gave me an admin job ...makes sense?

 

bro you cannot trade like me sober...you'll need a drink...

 

and if you think I am bad...compare me against this. ...

 

a great man once stated

 

 

'........I drink daily.......In victory I enjoy Champagne...in defeat I need it.....''

 

Napoleon

 

 

 

 

 

----

oinly joking...i'm alive and kicking mate...like ayone else.

 

I'm plugged both into and out of the Universe.

 

 

[ZoomZ]

hey HDB if you staring at the sscreen...your friends need you

 

come back and help them...you're a good trader that  knows his tuff mon

 

remember   a field is a place where persons of like skills meet to play the game with skill...one doesn't walk off when sees his adversary is as good as him..or better..we are all good.

 

we all must stand toe to toe and shoulder to shoulder ....teams members at the sides and they play the game...it's the game that's important not the skills of one but the players

 

lets just play a game...where all benefit from playing...this place is better when peace prevails

 

like I said the disciples need you...come back and add value to the forum...like we all wwish to

 

sweet..peace and love...we'll need it.

 

[Sunesis]

sunesis

 

i like your style ...but it really is not that simple from my viewpoint anyway

 

really we are entering hyper inflation where money is nothing and stocks hold more currency than currency....the dow could rally to the the Seven Sisters of the Pleaides....

 

shorts would vapourise as we scalle the cliff of inflation....stocks continuously rallying as currencies fall...but the trick is understanding the relative game i.e. which coiuntries/commod/ markets are over under prices and to trade them stylistically

 

so being a bear is easy, but bulls could argue inflation will lift all boats....and other markets would confuse this as being bullish sending them concommitantly higher...

 

its going to be difficultt reading this universal story...so yes I agree longer time frames are correct

 

what will happen is more corrections ( we have not had a 10% coorrection in 6 years worldwide)

 

this is the fat pitch I agree...problem is the US is in sh1te street...they are facing the end of their tenure....good riddance...they will fake the last stage as the satirical theatre threatens to close

 

okay alsi is sick and requiring ER..all bets off...short or naught

 

( i must say there's a nice tea cup formation on the UK ftse,and dow....and gold...short time frame....longer frame ...they're dead markets warping.

No one will ring the bell at the top or blow a whistle

 

This is not soccer or rugby, this is poker and chess mixed with Russian roullete

 

I'm just sh8t scared of a correction, that's why i am not going long anytime soon. Until we get this 10% correction or more, i am riding on the bear.

 

The higher it goes the riskier it becomes.

 

I don't want all my hard earned cash from last year to evaporate. Best to play defense.

 

Advisors are still bullish (Bull and Bear) best to stay short

 

 

 

 

 

 

"So, first of all, let me assert my firm belief that the only thing we have to fear is fear itself..."

 

However, when it comes to the stock market it is the "lack of fear" that we should be most fearful of.

 

Throughout human history, the emotions of "fear" and "greed" have influenced market dynamics.  From soaring bull markets to crashing bear markets, tulip bubbles to the South Sea, railroads to technology; the emotions of greed, fear, panic, hope and despair have remained a constant driver of investor behavior. 

 

 

The chart below, shows the investor psychology cycle overlaid against the S&P 500 and the 3-month average of net equity fund inflows by investors. The longer that an advance occurs in the market, the more complacent that investors tend to become.

 

 

 

Complacency is like a "warm blanket on a freezing day."  No matter how badly you want something, you are likely to defer action because it will require leaving the "cozy comfort" the blanket affords you. When it comes to the markets, that complacency can be detrimental to your long term financial health.

 

 

The chart below shows the 6-month average of the volatility index (VIX) which represents the level of "fear" by investors of a potential market correction.

 

The current levels of investor complacency are more usually associated with late stage bull markets rather than the beginning of new ones.

 

The point here is simple. The combined levels of bullish optimism, lack of concern about a possible market correction (don't worry the Fed has the markets back), and rising levels of leverage in markets provide the"ingredients" for a more severe market correction.

 

 

 

As you can see, during the initial phases of a topping process complacency as shown by the 3-month volatility index at the bottom remains low. As the markets rise, investor confidence builds leading to a"willful" blindness of the inherent risks. This confidence remains during the topping process which can take months to complete. With individuals focused on the extremely short term market movements (the tree) they miss the fact that the forest is on fire around them. However, as shown, by the time investors realize the markets have broken it is generally too late.

 

 

 

 

"The survivors pledged to themselves that they would forever be more careful, less greedy, less short-term oriented.

 

But here we are again, mired in a euphoric environment in which some securities have risen in price beyond all reason, where leverage is returning to rainy markets and asset classes, and where caution seems radical and risk-taking the prudent course. Not surprisingly, lessons learned in 2008 were only learned temporarily. These are the inevitable cycles of greed and fear, of peaks and troughs.

 

Can we say when it will end? No. Can we say that it will end? Yes. And when it ends and the trend reverses, here is what we can say for sure. Few will be ready. Few will be prepared."

 

 

It is in that statement that we find the unfortunate truth. Individuals are once again told that this time will be different. Anyone who dares speak against the clergy of bullishness is immediately chastised for heresy. Yet, in the end, no one will ring the bell at the top and ask everyone to please exit the building in an orderly fashion. Rather, it will be "Constanza moment" as the adults (professionals) trample the children (retail) to flee the building in a moment of panic.

 

 

[mx125]

holi benoni

 

if anyone thoght the alsi has a character of their own dont watch the market for the past 1.5 hours...

 

buyers and sellers sat staring at each other at 43830 43860...

 

like it was March 1915 world war 1 in the Somme

 

I even saw them out playing soccer..

 

GET BACK IN THE TRENCHES and fight you swines...

 

Fight fight like there's my margin against your you cretins

 

Fight schweinhund

 

 

good there they go

 

Zoom, I think you need to take a glass of wine and put your feet up, or maybe you should put the glass down.

Something is seriously wrong. But I do enjoy your posts, so please don't stop.

[ZoomZ]

holi benoni

 

if anyone thoght the alsi has a character of their own dont watch the market for the past 1.5 hours...

 

buyers and sellers sat staring at each other at 43830 43860...

 

like it was March 1915 world war 1 in the Somme

 

I even saw them out playing soccer..

 

GET BACK IN THE TRENCHES and fight you swines...

 

Fight fight like there's my margin against your you cretins

 

Fight schweinhund

 

 

good there they go

[ZoomZ]

sunesis

 

i like your style ...but it really is not that simple from my viewpoint anyway

 

really we are entering hyper inflation where money is nothing and stocks hold more currency than currency....the dow could rally to the the Seven Sisters of the Pleaides....

 

shorts would vapourise as we scalle the cliff of inflation....stocks continuously rallying as currencies fall...but the trick is understanding the relative game i.e. which coiuntries/commod/ markets are over under prices and to trade them stylistically

 

so being a bear is easy, but bulls could argue inflation will lift all boats....and other markets would confuse this as being bullish sending them concommitantly higher...

 

its going to be difficultt reading this universal story...so yes I agree longer time frames are correct

 

what will happen is more corrections ( we have not had a 10% coorrection in 6 years worldwide)

 

this is the fat pitch I agree...problem is the US is in sh1te street...they are facing the end of their tenure....good riddance...they will fake the last stage as the satirical theatre threatens to close

 

okay alsi is sick and requiring ER..all bets off...short or naught

 

( i must say there's a nice tea cup formation on the UK ftse,and dow....and gold...short time frame....longer frame ...they're dead markets warping.

 

 

[Sunesis]

i just double checked...no gap on my 1 minute to close at 44067...my daughter was playing with a wine opener....

 

but switzerland is improving.....although I expect their gap to close at 8330 (goodness that's hilarious) asap

 

alsi should follow...but the big boys clearly used AGL to run this monster up.... we see

 

and there's the dow testing 16320/30 again

DOW will be back to 16170 soon

 

i dont expect it to go above 16400

[ZoomZ]

i just double checked...no gap on my 1 minute to close at 44067...my daughter was playing with a wine opener....

 

but switzerland is improving.....although I expect their gap to close at 8330 (goodness that's hilarious) asap

 

alsi should follow...but the big boys clearly used AGL to run this monster up.... we see

 

and there's the dow testing 16320/30 again

[Sunesis]

I see a fat pitch

 

I'm swinging the bat

 

Short FTSE 6640

Short ASX  5495

 

[ZoomZ]

hey is alsi stays at xx830 for longer people will take notice...

 

everyone tilt their machine screens to push this thing off so it's not so obvious

 

) hee

 

there you go

 

oh she's back..there you go

[Sunesis]

Follow the higher time frames, they are saying bulls will sh8t in their pants soon.

 

What happens in between is just noise

[ZoomZ]

wow dow weak...no bravado...even from Fakeside control desks....

 

is a reset looming??

 

a ..'sh!ttycane storming blowing in ...' as the ever pissed Mr. Lahey and Rickey from Trailer park boys would bellow...

 

but Dax now following switzerland....difficult call for alsi now...a 250 point maribozu begets another....so longs and shorts stalemating.

 

inside 3 up to 44067/147...non -engulfing then down...or we just fall through our a$$es right here and now...like I said yesterday.....

 

deer .....headlights.

 

big boys bailing with volume..rats and mice buying hand over fist.

 

 

[Roundtree]

It happens. 43732 is my long entry. Let's see if this one pays. Happy days.

It's actually 43721. I hadn't realized that the days high had changed since that order was placed. Order changed.

[ZoomZ]

ugly / beautiful looking maribozo on the 90 minute...

 

the 90 minute did not close this mornings gap by the way...so indeed roundtree it's a target.....for a bounce. but then xx 660 comes into play

[Sunesis]

It's funny how the bears jump out the window.

 

It takes the whole day to go up and a few seconds wipe it. That's why i like shorts at infliction points

[ZoomZ]

wow if we go near 43736 i would stay handsomely short...but I understand why...its previous close...a bounce trade....I am short for the gap close at 43300 now...unless it breaks above 44000 and holds it there....would still short at 44237/44367 for 44000 retest..it cannot hold it and will test it again and again.

 

but the market techs are damaged...nervousness is my 5th indicator.