35854 replies to this topic

[gannet]

Are we 30 mins from a pivot. Let's see if my experiment works. Cycles can also be halved or doubled

[Beorn]

how weird I said 14 hours ago the dow has big resistance at 16253 it sits right on 16253. ----------------------- an up day for ALSI maybe??? what about negative Japan and ASX markets and weaker gold price? i'll be building shorts as we rise for sure.

 

I have a feeling my 1% up day may still be in the cards 

[AJS]

Dont know what he said, but it surely looks like the markets liked it. Time to go long then I presume.

 

Basically said Russia proposed "cooperation with Ukraine". 

[Beorn]

l

Looks like the market likes whatPutin is saying

 

Dont know what he said, but it surely looks like the markets liked it. Time to go long then I presume.

[gannet]

I don't like ras-Putin ... but he presents a good argument.

[bear catcher]

l

Looks like the market likes whatPutin is saying

[Sunesis]

Putin to address Federal Assembly on Crimea in several minutes.

 

Live: http://rt.com/on-air/

[snoop]

so where is the next number xx330 what's the theory again.....

[Sunesis]

Why selling all the rallies into April will payoff: Putin ALSI into perspective

 

1. China real estate developer with $567 debt set to collapse

2. China home prices are starting to slow

3. The Yaun is weakening, which will disrupt other markets like Japan. Nikkei will have spill over effect

4. Weak US sanctions to Russia will enable them to continue with eastern Ukraine. Some of Putin's friends who were sanctioned even laughed them off.

5. China abstaining from the UN security council vote against Russia gives Russia the go ahead to do whatever they want.

 

Crimea moving to Russia gives essentially a signal to China that one day they can also move and seize some territory that they perceive that belongs to them. The islands which Japan and China are fighting for will be the next referendum. Russia will support China as that happens. No wonder China abstained from the vote. Putin is a very good chess player.

 

On the economic front,  there is a huge discrepancy between what China reports and what China’s trading partners are reporting.

So if you look at the figures of China, exports are still growing. If you look at the trade figures China exports to Taiwan, so China records exports of so and so much. The Taiwan report imports from China at a much lower level. So which figures are more reliable? I think the figures of the trading partners of China are more reliable. And they would suggest that growth has slown down 

 

 

Governments will always publish the statistics that they wish to show irrespective whether that is in China or in other countries. Governments control basically the statistical offices, so they can show whatever they want. As Stalin said, it’s not important who votes but who counts the votes. And the government counts the statistics.

 

 

 

I think that investors are not sufficiently aware that the Chinese economy is far more important for emerging economies like South Africa than the United States because China is a large importer of resources. In other words, iron ore, copper, zinc. And at the same time, they are a huge exporter to South Africa of their own manufactured goods.

So if the Chinese economy slows down, commodity prices, industrial commodity prices are likely to remain under pressure. They already came down a lot. They remain under pressure and the resource producers have less money. In other words, the South Africa goes into a recession. The Middle East does not grow as much as before. South Africa and so forth all contract, and then they buy less from China and you have a vicious cycle on the downside.

 

Keep an eye on Tencent and BHP

 

[HDB]

HDB you were looking at a scalp but since we had a double bottom to you change plan...

nopes took my profit and rannnnn

[HDB]

long @41973 ..looking form 100 points again!!

and out at 42074 for 101 points!!

[snoop]

long @41973 ..looking form 100 points again!!

HDB you were looking at a scalp but since we had a double bottom to you change plan...

[Vertebrae]

Trying to revive SPX with short squeezing therapy, but this procedure only delaying things.

Patient needs to takeover soon or suffer big relapse.

[snoop]

kio and naspers moving up slowly again... just need some "big" boys to come to the party...

[snoop]

Think about it this way: If you just fell from the third floor, would you just get up and walk straight away? 

Yes but thats normally when you need "Doctors" advice. I have only fell from the first floor. 

[K~~]

always goes quiet after a few hundred point drop......

Think about it this way: If you just fell from the third floor, would you just get up and walk straight away? 

[gannet]

double bottom coming up?

 

maybe a bounce back to 42100 - ish

 

42100 needs to break or we stay muddling sideways with more downside risk

[snoop]

always goes quiet after a few hundred point drop......

[HDB]

long @41973 ..looking form 100 points again!!

[ZoomZ]

the good bye kissed its 55 ema.. whoosh