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ALSI Trades


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#29481 Argento

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 02:56 PM

Just be careful..If the US breaks 1680 it could get very very red. Thursday it broke support  and we went down to 39000 from 39250. We are now on 39000 so if SP500 breaks that, its gonna fall hard as it found support at 1680 on Friday, but that level will be invalidated when it breaks it again

Yip, don't know why I have this feeling US going for that 1628 major support come the 17th...then bounce hard!

 

A


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#29482 Lekkerry

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 02:42 PM

Today feels like on of those days where no-one is right, nor is anyone wrong! A wait-'n-see day.


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#29483 bear catcher

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 01:43 PM

Bought the ******* dip yippee


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#29484 Redeemer

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 12:35 PM

Ok, long at 38913, IG. Looking to add more longs if we manage 38800.

Will hedge with a short, if 38800 does not hold.


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#29485 delta66

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 11:50 AM

I'm in both MTN and VOD, and i think we're in for a hellish ride (short-term). But for someone who's been in from R176 (MTN), and R112 (VOD), i'll hold still because i believe the share prices will bounce back in no time. VOD will announce results in Nov, and i expect these to be good since these cuts will take time to be effected, and to impact the profitability of these companies. 

 

I think this will blow over, and I remain optimistic about the future of both Companies

in a nutshell - agreed


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#29486 WINH

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 11:48 AM

chubbs, i'm in vod..think there's more pain to come :mellow: ...can't see mtn being impacted as much as vod

 

I'm in both MTN and VOD, and i think we're in for a hellish ride (short-term). But for someone who's been in from R176 (MTN), and R112 (VOD), i'll hold still because i believe the share prices will bounce back in no time. VOD will announce results in Nov, and i expect these to be good since these cuts will take time to be effected, and to impact the profitability of these companies. 

 

I think this will blow over, and I remain optimistic about the future of both Companies


Edited by WINH, 07 October 2013 - 11:49 AM.

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#29487 delta66

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 11:35 AM

Zero Hedge made a post regarding that announcement..think it was around 4.00pm Fri afternoon


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#29488 delta66

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 11:24 AM

Anyone holding MTN and Vodacom shares on Friday? When did you try and exit the door after you heard what ICASA had to say?

chubbs, i'm in vod..think there's more pain to come :mellow: ...can't see mtn being impacted as much as vod


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#29489 K~~

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 11:11 AM

What is this? The bears taking the stairs down this time?


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#29490 Sam

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 10:59 AM

The ALSI never ceases to amaze. At times it mimics the FTSE/DOW almost exactly and at others, detaches itself and does its own thing. Both the US futures and the EU from 10 am have dropped a fair bit, and the Top40 in comparison has barely budged. The change in oil price, ZAR$ and gold price this morning is minimal, so would one of you knowledgeable traders explain how this works? Or could it be that more foreign QE money continues to flow into our local share market as yields are still pretty decent? Thanks in advance.
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#29491 Redeemer

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 10:49 AM

Looking for 38800-ish to go long.

 

Lots of crossing on MA's  on a quite few time frames on a many charts. How much is induced by market fundamentals and how much is induced by the US fiscal issues. Looks like its shaping up to be an all time high on a long me thinks


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#29492 Argento

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 10:11 AM

No no, by all means, keep it rolling!

 

:P

Just for you...DOW made a daily bearish cross and will be confirmed with the open..so more red to come! ;)

 

A


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#29493 Lekkerry

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 10:05 AM

No no, by all means, keep it rolling!

 

:P

 

Ok, enough bear talk for one day! :rolleyes:

 


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#29494 Argento

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 10:02 AM

Does not look good for the FTSE, broke her daily 200 moving average and close to the August low being taken out, just made a 30min bearish cross so the red hanger sale might just open today! :blink:

 

A

And last but not least..look at the monthly gravestone doji candle..so all pointing to a bloody October!

 

Ok, enough bear talk for one day! :rolleyes:

 

A


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#29495 Lekkerry

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 09:55 AM

Had finger trouble this AM, but it seems I am not the only one! I like my MM platform:

 

Running 2 legacy longs

Enter 3 shorts (to hedge plus 1) - Did not click FORCE OPEN – my bad

= 1 active short (check)

 

Add another 2 shorts (after the second attempt, as the first attempt noted a margin constraint)

 

Looking at my tally now, I have 5 shorts (all well in the money).

 

Roll on red Monday!


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#29496 Argento

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 09:47 AM

Charts:

FTSE: Hovering above its daily 200 moving average, if she goes through watch down below!

DOW: Broken her weekly 21 moving average and RSI resting on the 0 line, if that breaks watch down below!

ALSI: Resting on her 21 daily, if that goes watch down below!

 

We are indeed at an important inflection point.. :)

 

A

Does not look good for the FTSE, broke her daily 200 moving average and close to the August low being taken out, just made a 30min bearish cross so the red hanger sale might just open today! :blink:

 

A


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#29497 Sam

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 09:41 AM

Looking at the dailies, non resolution of the shutdown plus the raid by the US on Libya/Somalia, methinks that's a red cocktail in the making.
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#29498 Olymphia

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 08:50 AM

I thought so as well..Divvy days just mess the movements  up unfortunately..

U think fridays low gonna hold if we go south again?


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#29499 Olymphia

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 08:22 AM

SP500 made  the bounce off its 21d..I suppose investors speculated on Friday that a deal would have been struck over the weekend and climbed in. Monday should be interesting as  Boehner said on Sunday that  U.S. on path to default if Obama won't negotiate. We still trading on our 21d with a break below it before finding support just above it again. Any opinions on Friday's action and Mondays ranges?

Chubby

 

I relly expected your prediction to play through on friday.

 

What do u think with the above post, where we retest fridays lows.

 

O


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#29500 OceanWalz

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Posted 07 October 2013 - 07:35 AM

SP500 made  the bounce off its 21d..I suppose investors speculated on Friday that a deal would have been struck over the weekend and climbed in. Monday should be interesting as  Boehner said on Sunday that  U.S. on path to default if Obama won't negotiate. We still trading on our 21d with a break below it before finding support just above it again. Any opinions on Friday's action and Mondays ranges?

seems Fridays closing was partly pricing in a Sunday night US resolution and now that did not happen and S&P500 Futures down to 1673 and IG on their formula for our T40 & futures also down. I am wary bec I feel same scenario is just going to repeat, not a crash but a good buying opportunity close to our Friday lows again being reached. going short there is too dangerous for me as a sudden positive announcement would hurt big very suddenly! so loose range playing is indicated - then someone says something reconciliatory and up we go then it is seen as manipulation and down we go. somewhere I feel it will end to a very well rewarded upside

 

Vix moved down - it  should go up a bit again as political brinkmanship there continues. I keep watching the S&P futures. after all it is how the other investors and traders perceive the risk of the outcome - most of the scary cats have already sold but even the steady hands wil keep a watch on their risk patiently waiting for the expected logical upside resolution , For me it seemingly totally ignoring other fragile info on the market that is so ripe for a pullback separate from this current 'government closure/ debt ceiling' spat. 


Edited by OceanWalz, 07 October 2013 - 07:38 AM.

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