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ALSI Trades


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#34281 Lekkerry

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Posted 10 May 2013 - 11:43 AM

35700 is seemingly holding, but continually pulling ALSI down to it .

 

Opinions please: the longer a support holds (but continually drags ALSI down back to it), what is the consensus, is this a bearish or bullish sign. My opinion: it is bearish (but needs a catalyst), almost as if the market is running out of steam.

 

If stubborn ALSI breaks thróugh 700 yes! Ugh, seems to be holding. At this rate, up it goes tomorrow then. No position now is also a real position :)


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#34282 zoner

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Posted 10 May 2013 - 11:22 AM

Looks like we are already on a down down... must be Phuza Friday! :)


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#34283 Argento

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Posted 10 May 2013 - 10:38 AM

Hi bc,

 

Attached is the channel she is currently traveling in, I would only get really bearish if she breaks out of it convincingly, look how she touched it and bounced, changes are good for her to continue north to the upper line again before coming down!

 

Hope it helps!

 

A

Argento why the change to long still a amateur but trend was more down and us allso down what will give the long momentum or is it because the market did not really go down as we all thought would be the case as the us backed down.can you give me some insight

 


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#34284 K~~

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Posted 10 May 2013 - 10:20 AM

  • Newbie joining... Been following the chats since yesterday. Question: The Germans are up, why are we not following as strongly?

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#34285 Argento

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Posted 10 May 2013 - 10:03 AM

Yip, and that is why you have to ride it by sitting tight, trying to catch the up and down moves (scalping) within will let you miss it!

 

Cycle low is in beginning August so watch that legend 32700 target! ;)

 

A

So equities ARE in for a big whack soon then (barring QE euphoria,a s you say), if the Ausie$ remains the measuring stick. Catching that train is very difficult though

 

Makes sense, ta!


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#34286 Lekkerry

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Posted 10 May 2013 - 09:55 AM

So equities ARE in for a big whack soon then (barring QE euphoria,a s you say), if the Ausie$ remains the measuring stick. Catching that train is very difficult though

 

Makes sense, ta!

 

Hi Lekkerry,

 

The Aussie dollar is a leading indicator for asset classes as it tends to lead before the price gets affected, if you look in March she started to go down 2 weeks before our market actually turned down, the same in this case!

 

Second half of May and June there will be blood on the streets. will have your oversold bounces but that is one ride down you want to catch, this euphoria QE phase currently in the US ends with a crash, history repeats itself in this game unfortunately!

 

A


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#34287 Argento

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Posted 10 May 2013 - 09:52 AM

Hi Lekkerry,

 

The Aussie dollar is a leading indicator for asset classes as it tends to lead before the price gets affected, if you look in March she started to go down 2 weeks before our market actually turned down, the same in this case!

 

Second half of May and June there will be blood on the streets. will have your oversold bounces but that is one ride down you want to catch, this euphoria QE phase currently in the US ends with a crash, history repeats itself in this game unfortunately!

 

A

Hello Argento.

 

I am also keen on the Aussie$ movement, but unfortunately it is not an indicator atm, as it has really been knocked the past couple of days, yet ALSI goes up. Do you really still believe it is indicative atm?

 

:)


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#34288 JBlack

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Posted 10 May 2013 - 09:49 AM

Right hedged with a buy at 35700.


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#34289 JBlack

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Posted 10 May 2013 - 09:46 AM

Sell at 36100 just as it turned down again. Will hedge with buy when it goes up again and watch until it settles in pattern from here. This hovering in an 80 point range whole day only to move 400 points in the arvie is not cool....


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#34290 Lekkerry

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Posted 10 May 2013 - 09:41 AM

Hello Argento.

 

I am also keen on the Aussie$ movement, but unfortunately it is not an indicator atm, as it has really been knocked the past couple of days, yet ALSI goes up. Do you really still believe it is indicative atm?

 

:)

 

If I am looking at what the Aussie dollar is doing watch down below folks!!

 

A


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#34291 JBlack

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Posted 10 May 2013 - 09:41 AM

At least my trading range offered by IG today is slightly better. Will stay wide and both sides to hedge. Although it looks as if it wants to go large today. Those fully cream soda US futures makes for up reading


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#34292 Argento

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Posted 10 May 2013 - 09:38 AM

I'm afraid the bulls got the bears cornered...looks like an inverted H&S forming to push her into Jakes new high come Monday/or today..! :rolleyes:

 

She should start loosing momentum next week and crawl upwards to create negative divergence on the 5 hour chart and for her final top, before the last nasty leg down of this correction starts into August..

 

If I am looking at what the Aussie dollar is doing watch down below folks!!

 

A


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#34293 Ninja

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Posted 10 May 2013 - 09:20 AM

remember we were higher than this (36081) at 15.30 yesterday... and jakes was testing 36200, so longs be quick


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#34294 Lekkerry

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Posted 10 May 2013 - 09:07 AM

The theme song for May2013: "I believe I can fly".


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#34295 Ninja

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Posted 10 May 2013 - 08:35 AM

one for the bears... 30 min chart possible h&s


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#34296 bear catcher

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Posted 09 May 2013 - 09:00 PM

Hold on us tanking I think you gonna smile tomorrow
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#34297 Barny

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Posted 09 May 2013 - 08:45 PM

Rand/Dollar is rangebound...doesn't know if it wants to be 8.99 downward trend or 9.01 upward trend.

Something has to give. Which way is this gonna go?

I think we'll head back to 9.10-9.15 next week. It's been a little stubborn against the Euro pull back but expect it will follow...


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#34298 Argento

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Posted 09 May 2013 - 08:20 PM

Hi bc,

The trend is up till around the 17th May (cycle top), she is traveling on the 1 hour 21 moving average, every time she breaks it (like this afternoon) she comes back and make new highs, together with the US not showing any signs of retracement best to be long!

A
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#34299 zoner

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Posted 09 May 2013 - 08:15 PM

Rand/Dollar is rangebound...doesn't know if it wants to be 8.99 downward trend or 9.01 upward trend.

Something has to give. Which way is this gonna go?


Edited by zoner, 09 May 2013 - 08:17 PM.

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#34300 bear catcher

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Posted 09 May 2013 - 06:53 PM

Argento why the change to long still a amateur but trend was more down and us allso down what will give the long momentum or is it because the market did not really go down as we all thought would be the case as the us backed down.can you give me some insight
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