Facts not fiction! Think of a business with poor systems that allowed for fraudulent behaviour being completely overhauled to improve efficiencies. Will it be negative or positive? Is there no chance of survival. Everyone makes up there own minds and takes the risk or doesn't. No good absorbing full on negative news that is recycled a number of times in the press it is just noise. The real test will be in the 2019 trading results with audited financials behind us then the restructuring. I believe Heather Sonn that the best outcome for all parties is what they are working towards
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Hi SK ,
I iike this part of your posts......"I believe Heather Sonn that the best outcome for all parties is what they are working towards"
Glad you made that point as its a very good point for investing and something for others to consider.
Irrespective of share price one of the most important principles in investing often overlooked is , as an investor if you have full confidence in any new management going foward and having done your homework.......should be a key for you to invest..
So SK if you did your homework and happy about them going foward , go for it..
i am not invested here and have no intention to invest as i see other more problems/risk so have not gone into the management analysis side of things.
However some also see new management as " Useless" etc so always two sides to a coin.
My questions on what you should be asking yourself on new management as you cant take things on face value that management doing well:
1. is Sonn and / or du preez a fixing specialist having done so with other distressed companies?
2. Do they have retail and or international experience?
3. Who appointed them and for what reasons?
4. Is there appointment a quick fix or long term?
5. what is their remuneration package and do you think its warranted for work they putting in?
6. Since being in the jobs, do you confidence in what they doing? Have they been open and clear about the path forward, been open to shareholers about all the investigations and progress of company?. How about monthly progress reports to shareholers on everything and anything. Are sens isssued by company reasonable and fair or only trying to show one side of the story..." Pumping"
can go on but above would saffice for now.
next point :
"Think of a business with poor systems that allowed for fraudulent behaviour being completely overhauled to improve efficiencies. Will it be negative or positive? Is there no chance of survival. "
open to big debate with pros and cons. But your point about management brings me to this....You say completely overhauled to improve efficiencies?
Is this happening? If so how do you know especially if you say fact?
another point you make " No good absorbing full on negative news that is recycled a number of times in the press it is just noise "
Dont shoot the messengers please. Old news being recycled may still be bad news as warning to potential new investors.
and finally your point :
The real test will be in the 2019 trading results with audited financials behind us then the restructuring."
exactly...they we all will know whether management was bullshitting or not , extent of fraud , o and which catagory this company will fall in per Captains post as follows:
"The contingent liabilities are indeed a concern. However, many companies have ongoing contingent liabilities and in fact this could be seen as a cost of doing business. Currently he following companies are facing lawsuits:
- Glencore has them regarding their mining operations in DRC,
- BP has them regarding the Gulf of Mexico issue (which has not yet been completely settled),
- BHP has this for the tailing dam failings in South America,
- Vale has this for their own dam failure over the past week,
- Huwei has it with the CEO and the supposed Iran sanctions issue,
- Samsung has it regarding their influencing the previous President.
- VW, Audi and BMW are all caught up in the emissions scandal.
The list is endless. As long as someone feels suitably aggrieved, they will sue. Do you see the contingent liabilities wiping any of those companies off the map? Of course some companies do fold (Lehman, Enron, WorldCom, etc).
But many do not - certainly not for the relatively small scale of the Steinhoff irrgularities.
- Freddie Mac (the famous US company) committed $5b financial fraud in 2003 by mistating their earnings (they paid $120m fine). This did not stop Warren Buffett taking a large in the company.
- AIG committed a $3.9b fraud. They settled for around $2b. the CEO Greenberg was fired but never faced criminal charges."
Most of above companies above had had cash and turning cash to pay fines etc... If enforced will Steinhoff be able to do it. Unknown what the fine, if any will be at moment. Some companies bailed out by their govts above like Freddie Mac...Steinhoff is not a bank so do not think our bankrupted govt will assist in any way especially when white monopolistic capital in their words involved.
and final point...Wiese buying 2 m shares at +-R4m...is this a joke to be investing here because of that? Check Ellies thread where i warned about directors buying and dumb investors following. Dont be a dumb investor to be following 2m shares of Wiese.
Wieses increase of +-2m holding could have been because of share incentives , options , bonus etc and not formal buying on JSE.. If he had confidence he would have been buying 200m in cfds and not 2m because i know how he operates.
Edited by Polly, 02 February 2019 - 10:12 AM.