35854 replies to this topic

[Sunesis]

F8ck the war, i'm buying ALSI at 42430 stop 42150

[Sunesis]

SP500 weekly and monthly charts, any comments?

http://www.chartuplo...17965736132.png (weekly)

http://www.chartuplo...01137028909.png (monthly)

 

Potential impact on our market? I would however keep an eye (as S said) on the happenings in the east. We might see another Syria soon...

War is here "Putin will get it started

 

 

 

 

The U.S. Navy will arrive in Sevastopol in four hours? As we have just learned from unofficial sources in the Naval Forces of Ukraine, headed for the shores of Sevastopol at full speed, are two ships of the United States Navy.

 

According to preliminary information, two destroyers carrier battle groups have already passed the Bosphorus.

 

Recall that part of the Black Sea Fleet warships are now off the coast of Sochi. Yesterday, a large landing ship "Kaliningrad" from the Baltic Fleet entered the Black Sea. And as we have previously reported, to Sevastopol is returning the Ukrainian frigate "Hetman Sahaidachny."

There has been no official comment.

 

Best to short this market above 42600 ( keep an eye on China PMI)

[davidp13]

SP500 weekly and monthly charts, any comments?

http://www.chartuplo...17965736132.png (weekly)

http://www.chartuplo...01137028909.png (monthly)

 

Potential impact on our market? I would however keep an eye (as S said) on the happenings in the east. We might see another Syria soon...

 

[davidp13]

I personally hope it breaks down

GBPZAR

http://www.chartuplo...06041234399.png

 

Argento - sorry buddy my team took that one

[Sunesis]

Most important week of the year. Geo- Political Risk

 

The HSBC China PMI @ 03h45. With the goverment number coming above 50, it keep the market at bay for now. Th HSBC will set the sparks.

Keep track of the Nikkei movements, they will give you a hint of where risk is.

US Bio-tech stocks have hit parabolic stages. They are pulling the Nasdaq index, same as dot.com bubble stages.

 

 

Pay attention to risk in Russian and Ukraine conflict.

 

 

 

Ukraine political tensions will keep the market at bay.

It promises to be a bullish week, but just be mindful of political tensions in Ukraine. We know how markets can be effected, remember Syria story.

 

But the market normally comes out bullish after this events are over.

 

We have PMI numbers form UK and US, plus the bonus NFP.

 

Trade well.

 

March is seasonally bullish before peaks in April or May.

 

History is a little nicer for S&P in the short-term in a similar situation. It rose 14 days in a row in March 2010, then rose another 4.5% into April before losing 17% over the next 4 months. 

 

 

What makes the example above pertinent is that 2010, like 2014, is a mid-term election year. The last 4 election mid-term election cycles have a similar pattern, with a notable high in the spring followed by a significant sell off into June

 

 

Looking back to 1901, that same pattern shows a typical high in April and a low in October.  Happily, the year ends positive, but usually by less than 4%. Investor timing in these years is more key than normal.

 

 

 

March typically starts strong, peaks mid-month and then ends weak. March trading starts Monday and that pattern of early strength and late weakness is typical not just of mid-term election years, but of all years

 

[HDB]

HDB, something perhaps with downward US GDP revision? Look at Reuter front page.

That was out even before US markets opened today.....

[Lekkerry]

HDB, something perhaps with downward US GDP revision? Look at Reuter front page.

[HDB]

Us falling and going red ? Anyone know what happened? 

 

Seems like short the bounce is the name of the game!!!

[BBW]

well played..

Thank you; don't know what I'll do without all the help here on this forum, though.

[bear catcher]

Out 42650 2 contract 2 still running

[delta66]

Plus I covered all my short losses (divi) when I sold now at 42570. Now for a nice cycle around the veld...

well played..

[K~~]

Plus I covered all my short losses (divi) when I sold now at 42570. Now for a nice cycle around the veld...

     

[Argento]

Yip, as S mentioned seasonals will soon take over! 

 

No bearish weekly reversal candle that says this new bulltrend is over...think it only just started!

 

A

Go Bulls!Not Blue Bulls...Lions going to have a feast!

 

A

Edited by Argento, 28 February 2014 - 05:06 PM.

[BBW]

Nice! Recovered the divi in 10 minutes! Almost just as quick as last year..

 

K

Plus I covered all my short losses (divi) when I sold now at 42570. Now for a nice cycle around the veld...

[K~~]

Going with big order long 42525 sculping the divi

Nice! Recovered the divi in 10 minutes! Almost just as quick as last year..

 

K

[bear catcher]

Going with big order long 42525 sculping the divi

[HDB]

Now we are going to 43000 and above, expect a gap higher on Monday

 

Be carefull of Chinese manufacturing PMI tomorrow!!

[Sunesis]

Long SA40 42510 target 43000

Now we are going to 43000 and above, expect a gap higher on Monday

[snoop]

Ok Pravin everyone has placed their orders, you can let everyone else know what the trade balance figures are now.

South Africa's trade account swings into wide deficit in January

People work on machines at clothing factory at an industrial town of Newcastle

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) - South Africa swung into a wide trade deficit of 17.06 billion rand in January, about double what economists expected, after a 2.78 billion rand surplus in December, data from the South African Revenue Service showed on Friday.

 

The data incorporates previously excluded trade with South Africa's regional neighbours Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia and Swaziland.

 

Exports in January ticked up 0.1 percent to 77.67 billion rand, but were far outstripped by imports which jumped 26.3 percent to 94.73 billion rand.

 

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast a trade shortfall of 8.5 billion rand for January, but the data has traditionally been volatile and hard to predict.

[Vertebrae]

Ok Pravin everyone has placed their orders, you can let everyone else know what the trade balance figures are now.