Jump to content


Photo
* * * * - 31 votes

ALSI Trades


  • Please log in to reply
35854 replies to this topic

#23201 davidp13

davidp13

    Little Master

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 654 posts

Posted 05 February 2014 - 09:03 PM

what to make of this?


  • 0

I find trading like body surfing, catch the right one and you will make it all the way to the beach.


#23202 Beorn

Beorn

    The Oracle

  • Senior Member
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 3,219 posts

Posted 05 February 2014 - 08:03 PM

Thanks AJ, I just hope I didn't close prematurely.

But I get the feeling bulls looking for a reason to buy at these levels

Ocean, I'm not wearing a suit, I am a perma bear!
When I'm bullish, I wear a suit. Hehehe.
  • 0

Alsi future

 

I only post my views, not advice


#23203 OceanWalz

OceanWalz

    Master

  • Senior Member
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 762 posts
  • LocationJHB

Posted 05 February 2014 - 07:32 PM

I closed my short from start of Jan close of market today.
It looks to me like we will bounce.
I suspect traders think Yellen will hold of tapering for a while.

hope there is a long bounce coming - but the lacklustre response this whole week to even todays benign to good non service nums is a poor bull response - so for risk management if today and tommorow a little up and Friday a bit red again (i.e.  no decisive follow through to a reasonable cat bounce then I am going to become solid bear again fearing the worst well past down 38000 Alsi - can I loan book your suit Jakes?


  • 0

#23204 AJS

AJS

    Sage

  • Senior Member
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,971 posts
  • LocationJohannesburg

Posted 05 February 2014 - 07:08 PM

I closed my short from start of Jan close of market today.

It looks to me like we will bounce.

I suspect traders think Yellen will hold of tapering for a while.


Nice going Jakes,well done. You called it from the start!

Edited by AJS, 05 February 2014 - 07:08 PM.

  • 0
"Trade what you see, not what you think"

#23205 Beorn

Beorn

    The Oracle

  • Senior Member
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 3,219 posts

Posted 05 February 2014 - 07:06 PM

I closed my short from start of Jan close of market today.
It looks to me like we will bounce.
I suspect traders think Yellen will hold of tapering for a while.
  • 0

Alsi future

 

I only post my views, not advice


#23206 AJS

AJS

    Sage

  • Senior Member
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,971 posts
  • LocationJohannesburg

Posted 05 February 2014 - 06:30 PM

Buy S&P break above 1745, target 1752.

Attached Files


  • 0
"Trade what you see, not what you think"

#23207 AJS

AJS

    Sage

  • Senior Member
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,971 posts
  • LocationJohannesburg

Posted 05 February 2014 - 06:28 PM

Also, keep an eye on the VIX!

Attached Files

  • Attached File  VIX.jpg   157.87KB   18 downloads

  • 0
"Trade what you see, not what you think"

#23208 AJS

AJS

    Sage

  • Senior Member
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,971 posts
  • LocationJohannesburg

Posted 05 February 2014 - 06:09 PM

Don't know if anyone trades agri commodities, but Soya can be set for a nice rally.  Note, this is CME Soya spot.  Buy break above 1320.

Attached Files


  • 0
"Trade what you see, not what you think"

#23209 Sunesis

Sunesis

    Sage

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,781 posts

Posted 05 February 2014 - 05:29 PM

Somebody's smoking their socks,... From where I'm standing US markets are RED or am I missing something

When a market won’t rally on good news

 

The ISM non-manufacturing number was solid, the jobs component improved and new orders picked up. There is nothing in the data set to suggest a sharp weakening in the economy.

Yet here we are with the S&P at the lows of the day, Technically the bulls are not in charge of the market.

If there were bulls out there waiting for a reason to buy, this was it. Instead the sellers have clearly claimed the upper hand.

Technically, the S&P 500 1750 trendline since June has given way.

 

Time for technicals to play out. 200DMA 1710 here we come


  • 0

No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.


#23210 Ninja

Ninja

    Sage

  • Senior Member
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,328 posts
  • LocationJapan

Posted 05 February 2014 - 05:22 PM

Somebody's smoking their socks,... From where I'm standing US markets are RED or am I missing something
  • 0

#23211 OceanWalz

OceanWalz

    Master

  • Senior Member
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 762 posts
  • LocationJHB

Posted 05 February 2014 - 05:18 PM

US Servives PMI saves the bulls.

 

Atleast markets will be stable tonight.

 

Yen has weakened.

ALSI should open higher tomorrow.

 

Let the spikes begin :P  :P  :P  :P  :P

 

Hi S, slightly better than expected US Service PMI and still the S&P500 acting like a sulking school girl - thought she would be happy and bounce a bit with confidence?


  • 0

#23212 Sunesis

Sunesis

    Sage

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,781 posts

Posted 05 February 2014 - 05:02 PM

US Servives PMI saves the bulls.

 

Atleast markets will be stable tonight.

 

Yen has weakened.

ALSI should open higher tomorrow.

 

Let the spikes begin :P  :P  :P  :P  :P


  • 0

No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.


#23213 Sunesis

Sunesis

    Sage

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,781 posts

Posted 05 February 2014 - 03:45 PM

Looks like we have a Japan problem.

original_19685749.jpg?1391478112


  • 0

No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.


#23214 Sunesis

Sunesis

    Sage

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,781 posts

Posted 05 February 2014 - 03:43 PM

Dotcom bubble could be happening.

original_19663883.jpg?1391444100


  • 0

No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.


#23215 Sunesis

Sunesis

    Sage

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,781 posts

Posted 05 February 2014 - 03:40 PM

If gold closes above 1275 today, then the gold bull market has started.

 

S&P falls and Gold goes up


  • 0

No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.


#23216 Sunesis

Sunesis

    Sage

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,781 posts

Posted 05 February 2014 - 03:23 PM

ADP NFP number is modest, but market is not happy. Only US Service PMI will save the bulls.

 

Yen is back to being strong.

When yen is strong market goes down.

 

Nikkei goes to the toilet.

Dollar is weak, USD/JPY is getting hammered.

 

If this continues, bears will have a feast.


  • 0

No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.


#23217 davidp13

davidp13

    Little Master

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 654 posts

Posted 05 February 2014 - 03:20 PM

By no means a tech analysis or a rigid pattern, but the 1d is playing a familiar game:

 

Red candle touching BBLower, then a possible turn-around as the follow-on candle (today's) doesn't decent lower than the last red candle for one or two days then a lekker upswing. My initial target will be the EMA(10) line (J200 @ 40563), after-which I will reassess exit target for long(s).

I suspect the retest will be to 20EMA (the 40900 A mentioned) and if it fails back down you will get somewhat the same action as we did in Jan when we jumped off the 20EMA to our new high. Maybe just s little more to the downside then.


  • 0

I find trading like body surfing, catch the right one and you will make it all the way to the beach.


#23218 Lekkerry

Lekkerry

    Sage

  • Senior Member
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,608 posts
  • LocationZA

Posted 05 February 2014 - 02:51 PM

By no means a tech analysis or a rigid pattern, but the 1d is playing a familiar game:

 

Red candle touching BBLower, then a possible turn-around as the follow-on candle (today's) doesn't decent lower than the last red candle for one or two days then a lekker upswing. My initial target will be the EMA(10) line (J200 @ 40563), after-which I will reassess exit target for long(s).


  • 0

From your perspective, Lekkerry is faceless and to a degree nameless, so any opinions expressed are just that, opinions from someone on the Internet  :D


#23219 Redeemer

Redeemer

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 282 posts

Posted 05 February 2014 - 02:37 PM

Ok, the charts are speaking...we are going back up....low test candles on the dailies (if this level holds or we go up higher)


  • 0

#23220 Zero Hedge

Zero Hedge

    Advanced Member

  • Junior Member
  • PipPipPip
  • 403 posts
  • LocationSome Island

Posted 05 February 2014 - 01:03 PM

How low can the indices go if US services and ADP NFP numbers miss today. S&P=1710, DAX =8950  ALSI =39000

Don't think market will pay too much attention to ADP this afternoon...lately it has been a useless leading indicator for NFP


  • 0





Sponsored by Sharenet and VPSNine Linux VPS Hosting