31 votes
Little Master
Posted 29 January 2014 - 05:22 PM
Tongue in cheek, but do World Markets collude to bring out bad news at times?
Remember the two article links I posted + I know RSA does not mean much in the economic world but multiple EM countries rising rates. Means the cycle started and I guess that is that.
I find trading like body surfing, catch the right one and you will make it all the way to the beach.
Little Master
Posted 29 January 2014 - 05:21 PM
Tongue in cheek, but do World Markets collude to bring out bad news at times?
I find trading like body surfing, catch the right one and you will make it all the way to the beach.
Sage
Posted 29 January 2014 - 04:57 PM
Margin debt at all time High
The last time margin debt was this high, the stock market crashed
I have a friend who just lost 80k now.
He put too much margin on his trades.
Money management is key.
No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.
Sage
Posted 29 January 2014 - 04:46 PM
Small Cap valuations are at highs again.
Crash happened after
https://pbs.twimg.co...A2l9a.jpg:large
No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.
Sage
Posted 29 January 2014 - 04:42 PM
Margin debt at all time High
The last time margin debt was this high, the stock market crashed
No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.
Sage
Posted 29 January 2014 - 04:37 PM
Tongue in cheek, but do World Markets collude to bring out bad news at times?
From your perspective, Lekkerry is faceless and to a degree nameless, so any opinions expressed are just that, opinions from someone on the Internet 
Sage
Posted 29 January 2014 - 04:13 PM
S, what I get is that the Fed will aper by 10 - seems done thing - they like to leak decision so as not to upset expectations and thus the financial markets - you still think them doing that will hit ALSI negatively tomorrow -
Marcus's 0.5 interest hike has been coming for about three years now - but it makes geared capital structures on the balance sheet more expensive - ( and bad debts to rise - normally interest rates hike to cool down an economy warming up too much - but now to do it when consumer already against the ropes!!! and increasing rates , compared to trading partners, is not taht effective to prop up currency)
My dax long hit stop.
Today is not about weather we taper or not, it's about a crash landing
No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.
Sage
Posted 29 January 2014 - 04:08 PM
Oh boy, even beyond this.
Oh pleezzz, now the 1h is also winking at me to 40900.
From your perspective, Lekkerry is faceless and to a degree nameless, so any opinions expressed are just that, opinions from someone on the Internet
Sage
Posted 29 January 2014 - 04:08 PM
Marcus was pressured to increase the rate by other EM markets. The economy does not warrant it.
It will be a total mess for EM Markets if FED taper today. Their rate hikes wont work. Traders can see desperate central bankers easily.
Remember 1992 when the pound crashed. BOE tried everything until they ran out of reserves to make the pound stronger.
The pound crashed, and George Soros made 1billion pounds on one single trade betting against BOE
I will not be buying South African consumer stocks anytime soon. Retail stocks with South African operations fill the pressure now.
Good luck with paying for your house, car and starting small business.
I can see ALSI dropping past 39000 soon. I would just say sell every rally. Don't buy this market.
Use money management and place shorts at intervals on rallys. Within 3 months you will tank me.
South Africa is surely in a recession now.
From PIIGS to RATS: Russia Argentina Turkey SouthAfrica
Rate hike did not work as i expected. We've seen this movie before Marcus, ask BOE 1992 was no joke.
We just need the FED to taper, so the 15-20% correction can start playing out.
Even if they don't taper, continue selling.
Its 2014 a new year. The playing field has changed
You must know when to change with the facts to be a good trader.
No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.
Master
Posted 29 January 2014 - 04:02 PM
S, what I get is that the Fed will aper by 10 - seems done thing - they like to leak decision so as not to upset expectations and thus the financial markets - you still think them doing that will hit ALSI negatively tomorrow -
Marcus's 0.5 interest hike has been coming for about three years now - but it makes geared capital structures on the balance sheet more expensive - ( and bad debts to rise - normally interest rates hike to cool down an economy warming up too much - but now to do it when consumer already against the ropes!!! and increasing rates , compared to trading partners, is not taht effective to prop up currency)
The Artist
Posted 29 January 2014 - 04:01 PM
Don't think we will get to new highs on ALSI, not even on DAX,DOW and S&P.
Markets will be very volitile for the next 6months. It's just a matter of time before this baby crashes.
Every rally is just a relief rally.
Primary IV for the US is still missing...
Agree with the crash coming but my 2c not yet...something is missing!
The current sentiment for EM's is too bearish and therefor a contrarian indicator, and together with the classic distribution top missing on the US charts still see new highs before the yearly red hanger sale kicks off!
But guess mr market will show us soon...
A
"Never never never give up!"
Sage
Posted 29 January 2014 - 03:55 PM
Edited by Ninja, 29 January 2014 - 03:56 PM.
Sage
Posted 29 January 2014 - 03:51 PM
Same setup as when they announced the taper, market takes it negative at first but then it realises the economy is actually picking up so start rallying...if this downmove recovers (looks like it) then very bullish and the last rally of this bullphase with new highs have commenced...!
A
Don't think we will get to new highs on ALSI, not even on DAX,DOW and S&P.
Markets will be very volitile for the next 6months. It's just a matter of time before this baby crashes.
Every rally is just a relief rally.
No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.
Sage
Posted 29 January 2014 - 03:49 PM
It seems bad news is bad news.
Same setup as when they announced the taper, market takes it negative at first but then it realises the economy is actually picking up so start rallying...if this downmove recovers (looks like it) then very bullish and the last rally of this bullphase with new highs have commenced...!
A
From your perspective, Lekkerry is faceless and to a degree nameless, so any opinions expressed are just that, opinions from someone on the Internet
Sage
Posted 29 January 2014 - 03:43 PM
Oh pooieee, .5% increase
Marcus was pressured to increase the rate by other EM markets. The economy does not warrant it.
It will be a total mess for EM Markets if FED taper today. Their rate hikes wont work. Traders can see desperate central bankers easily.
Remember 1992 when the pound crashed. BOE tried everything until they ran out of reserves to make the pound stronger.
The pound crashed, and George Soros made 1billion pounds on one single trade betting against BOE
I will not be buying South African consumer stocks anytime soon. Retail stocks with South African operations fill the pressure now.
Good luck with paying for your house, car and starting small business.
I can see ALSI dropping past 39000 soon. I would just say sell every rally. Don't buy this market.
Use money management and place shorts at intervals on rallys. Within 3 months you will tank me.
South Africa is surely in a recession now.
No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.
Sage
Posted 29 January 2014 - 03:40 PM
Interest rate up .But the rand is now taking a hammering. Any explanation???
IG CASH
The Artist
Posted 29 January 2014 - 03:40 PM
Possible inverted H&S..could still work on the right shoulder!
If this fails then new lows...
A
Same setup as when they announced the taper, market takes it negative at first but then it realises the economy is actually picking up so start rallying...if this downmove recovers (looks like it) then very bullish and the last rally of this bullphase with new highs have commenced...! 
A
Edited by Argento, 29 January 2014 - 03:41 PM.
"Never never never give up!"
Sage
Posted 29 January 2014 - 03:23 PM
Oh pooieee, .5% increase
From your perspective, Lekkerry is faceless and to a degree nameless, so any opinions expressed are just that, opinions from someone on the Internet
Sage
Posted 29 January 2014 - 03:12 PM
No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.
Sage
Posted 29 January 2014 - 02:59 PM
Bought DAX 9380
No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.
