
ALSI Trades
#27901
Posted 11 November 2013 - 05:25 PM
The first goal is to ensure survival – avoid the risks that can empty your account and put you out of the trading business.
#27902
Posted 11 November 2013 - 05:02 PM
Just hold your trades. Don't sit there and look at every tick. I don't see us going down. Just sit there and hold on.
This is were we are going today.
Markets go up and down to get to their destination, just because you see a red candle does not mean we are going down.
Don't expect to make profit in 2 minutes. Put your trade and go watch a movie.
Relax and enjoy
Viva La Bull
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Our market has been boring today.
Made more money trading the Euro50 and FTSE today.
Multiple market trading is best.
We just need push above 40850 then the train will be on the right track.
No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.
#27903
Posted 11 November 2013 - 04:07 PM
There is no holiday today in the US as per Investing.com . The next US holiday is the 28th Nov . Come 3:30 it is business as usual...
Looks like the market will play as i stated.
We had our 13h00 rush up. Now we are having our dip before US open. Then we will have a up move as the night continues.
No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.
#27904
Posted 11 November 2013 - 03:59 PM
Two scenario's how November can play out:
(1) We resume the downtrend after today's green day and put in a low (40350ish futures) come friday and make new highs after.
(2) We continue up this week and possibly make a new high/top come friday before a bigger correction start into the 28th November and only then put in the low at (40350ish futures).
Considering Friday's strong up move by XLF but looking at sentiment (bears 16%) it favours a bigger correction around the corner and I'd go for option 2, don't forget...November is seasonally weak!
In the bigger context it looks like we have started a top pattern that should end with a new high in December and kick off the long awaited short bear market...just my 2c!Weekly MACD very overbought and if we print a new high come Friday it should create negative divergence for that top...
A
Looks like option 2 is in the works, thus the B leg up of the A,B,C correction..but don't think we will see a new high later this week before she turns down for final leg down!
5H macd has crossed the 0 line and that is not good...but for daily scalpers she is consolidating to go higher..but don't forget the medium term trend is still down..!
A
"Never never never give up!"
#27905
Posted 11 November 2013 - 03:53 PM
Just a thought from my really limited experience which may help some people.
Zoom out a bit, meaning look at a longer time frame chart.
A horrendous red candle on a 5 minute chart doesn't look nearly quite so bad on a 30 minute chart.
"Attitude produces better overall results than analysis or technique, of course the ideal situation is to have both, but you really don't need both, because if you have the right attitude the right mindset then everything else about trading will be relatively easy even simple and certainly a lot more fun." - Mark Douglas, Trading in the Zone.
Don't listen to me, I'm a market Rookie.
#27906
Posted 11 November 2013 - 01:47 PM
Is the Rand weakness good for our stocks?
I think the rand weakness is good for our large cap stocks. Reason is they derive most of their profits in dollars. We have a lot of companies who are also trying to open shop outside of South Africa.
Retailers get hurt the most with rand weakness, but retailers with outside presence will not get affected a lot.
Rand weakness is good for Richemont,SAB,BAT,NASPERS,BHP,ANGLO and other large caps which trade in dollars or export. These are the companies which will pull up the Top40
Keep Buying
Don't stand in front of a bullet train.
I'm afraid some people got burned and are still getting burned because the want to be superman.
The moment they see a 1% profit taking, they think it's a crash.
I call those pathetic traders, they never take advantage of the trend.
They never ride the wave. If you don't ride the wave, it will take you under.
Most of the traders who were long on Thursday ECB rate decision got to have their cake and ate it.
I still feel story for superman traders.
The market is a b*tch, it will f*ck them good.
No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.
#27907
Posted 11 November 2013 - 01:11 PM
There is no holiday today in the US as per Investing.com . The next US holiday is the 28th Nov . Come 3:30 it is business as usual...
Is Veteran's day but I see they said the stock market will be open, bond market might stay closed.
A
"Never never never give up!"
#27908
Posted 11 November 2013 - 01:06 PM
There is no holiday today in the US as per Investing.com . The next US holiday is the 28th Nov . Come 3:30 it is business as usual...
#27909
Posted 11 November 2013 - 12:21 PM
made enough loss for the day,
#27910
Posted 11 November 2013 - 11:38 AM
That's correct.
People should trade their own plan. I only post here for those who don't have confidence in their plans.
We don't know how big your account is.
We don't know how your money management is.
We don't know your stress levels.
We don't know how of a idiot you are like Batman
Guys
I respect the and appreciate the both of your views, don't get me wrong.
Would be great if Chubby was here, he the other one of the Guru's.
Thanks for sharing.
O
#27911
Posted 11 November 2013 - 10:54 AM
I like both views so keep them coming and do not get personal.
It's not personal, its just business.
The market will be the referee.
Traders need to compete in everyway when the market is open.
Back in the days traders used to fight or compete in the trading pits.
This forum is our pit, and its healthy to compete. That's what keeps the market moving
No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.
#27912
Posted 11 November 2013 - 10:47 AM
I find trading like body surfing, catch the right one and you will make it all the way to the beach.
#27913
Posted 11 November 2013 - 10:44 AM
Just to clarify...I trade longer waves (bigger picture) and is not a daily trader...S can be right with a long here so don't compare!
One should eitherway trade your own strategy, analysis and charts and not follow others blindly!
A
That's correct.
People should trade their own plan. I only post here for those who don't have confidence in their plans.
We don't know how big your account is.
We don't know how your money management is.
We don't know your stress levels.
We don't know how of a idiot you are like Batman
No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.
#27914
Posted 11 November 2013 - 10:41 AM
I was out of the market on friday. Whats your point.
I know when to trade i'm not a pig.
I even said i will start trading on Monday. Before that big deep happened on Thursday night, i saw it and closed all my long trades.
I was trading that night with Argento. I know when to close before something big happens.
Just stick to your trades. Weather people follow my posts or not i really don't care.
All i know is i make money which ends up in my account and not yours.
I'm also a day trader. I don't hold trades for a long time.
Hold your stupid CFR and SAB you are a compete idiot, you don't realise that those two companies can effect SA40
Haha Wow Hostile hey. Seems like my words hit you hard
#27915
Posted 11 November 2013 - 10:37 AM
Just to clarify...I trade longer waves (bigger picture) and is not a daily trader...S can be right with a long here so don't compare!
One should eitherway trade your own strategy, analysis and charts and not follow others blindly!
A
"Never never never give up!"
#27916
Posted 11 November 2013 - 10:37 AM
well, if this is foreign money leaving us, as verified by ZAR worsening currently, then surely it is not going to be a short term thing, but sign of longer exiting SA bonds and stocks? meaning more down to come?
I think so, for as long as tapering is expected, it might also only be expected by certain parties and not all, so it might not be a big down move
If Yellen sounds very dovish on Thursday we should bounce back with vengeance.
Central banks are the only game in town.
Alsi future
I only post my views, not advice
#27917
Posted 11 November 2013 - 10:35 AM
wanna throw in another long...but current spreads are really sickenning!!!
#27918
Posted 11 November 2013 - 10:31 AM
IMO,
this dip we are experiencing is foreign money leaving our equity markets, caused by fear of tapring.
US 10y also up +-5 in Friday trade.
well, if this is foreign money leaving us, as verified by ZAR worsening currently, then surely it is not going to be a short term thing, but sign of longer exiting SA bonds and stocks? meaning more down to come?
#27919
Posted 11 November 2013 - 10:28 AM
You know whats the funny thing.
Sunesis is motivating you guys to buy. Yet on Friday he said he's out of the market with his trades. Hmmmm....
Bulls can't always rally. Expect a dip for the next few weeks. This US Stimulus will effect us the hardest.
I'm holding on to my CFR, SAB (With foreign functional currencies). The rest I'm out
Also look at the really LOW VOLUMES of trading since last week. This makes the market EXTREMELY volitile to up and down trends.
I am The Batman
I was out of the market on friday. Whats your point.
I know when to trade i'm not a pig.
I even said i will start trading on Monday. Before that big deep happened on Thursday night, i saw it and closed all my long trades.
I was trading that night with Argento. I know when to close before something big happens.
Just stick to your trades. Weather people follow my posts or not i really don't care.
All i know is i make money which ends up in my account and not yours.
I'm also a day trader. I don't hold trades for a long time.
Hold your stupid CFR and SAB you are a compete idiot, you don't realise that those two companies can effect SA40
No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than..speculation.
#27920
Posted 11 November 2013 - 10:27 AM
IMO,
this dip we are experiencing is foreign money leaving our equity markets, caused by fear of tapring.
US 10y also up +-5 in Friday trade.
Alsi future
I only post my views, not advice