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ALSI Trades


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#11421 delta66

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 07:02 PM

Learning the hard way by trading against it through the years, but mostly from UBS and their cycles!

 

Best is to go back and study historical charts (don't always follow the same pattern but more or less), other key factors includes earnings season months, ECB meeting dates, futures close-out, Santa rallies (triple witching), seasonal bearish/bullish months etc

 

Jan  - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish)

Feb - Bullish but if Jan bullish followed by an uptrend then could be a top month (refer to previous years)

March - Bearish first half but futures close-out month so rally latter part

April - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish)

May - Tricky, sometimes bullish sometimes bearish but known as a very zig zag month

June - Mostly bearish but futures close-out month, after it is bullish...

July - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish)

August - Depend on bullmarket or bearmarket, if bull then bullish, if bear then bearish

September - Futures close-out month, first half bullish, second bearish

October - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish), also called month of bottoms

November - Bearish

December - First half bearish, latter bullish (Santa rally)

 

BUT...all of this must fit in with the tape, pattern and trend it is busy with!

 

Again, not set in stone but a good overall guideline!

 

A

good break-down analogy on market A...cant click the "like" button on your post unfortunately


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#11422 Argento

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 06:04 PM

Change is very good S&P targeting the bullish uptrend channel line around 1890ish....!

 

A

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#11423 AJS

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 05:32 PM

Can't believe that guy is still on TV!!

 

A

 

I wonder if he EVER looked at a Dollar Index chart whilst making his "buy gold" calls over the past few months! It should be logic...  :rolleyes:


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#11424 Argento

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 05:18 PM

Now you guys must watch the first roffey review of 2015... Who said he's wrong... He got it right 6 years later... Lol

Can't believe that guy is still on TV!!

 

A


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#11425 Ninja

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 05:10 PM

Now you guys must watch the first roffey review of 2015... Who said he's wrong... He got it right 6 years later... Lol
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#11426 warnerbroers

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 05:03 PM

did the gap close?


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#11427 Argento

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 04:50 PM

Hierdie is een warm klap!!

 

A


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#11428 REDorBLACK

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 04:42 PM

scrap that....on the edge of doom now...

Ladies and gentlemen...its too late to strap on your life jackets we are going down!!!!


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#11429 warnerbroers

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 04:37 PM

Learning the hard way by trading against it through the years, but mostly from UBS and their cycles!

 

Best is to go back and study historical charts (don't always follow the same pattern but more or less), other key factors includes earnings season months, ECB meeting dates, futures close-out, Santa rallies (triple witching), seasonal bearish/bullish months etc

 

Jan  - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish)

Feb - Bullish but if Jan bullish followed by an uptrend then could be a top month (refer to previous years)

March - Bearish first half but futures close-out month so rally latter part

April - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish)

May - Tricky, sometimes bullish sometimes bearish but known as a very zig zag month

June - Mostly bearish but futures close-out month, after it is bullish...

July - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish)

August - Depend on bullmarket or bearmarket, if bull then bullish, if bear then bearish

September - Futures close-out month, first half bullish, second bearish

October - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish), also called month of bottoms

November - Bearish

December - First half bearish, latter bullish (Santa rally)

 

BUT...all of this must fit in with the tape, pattern and trend it is busy with!

 

Again, not set in stone but a good overall guideline!

 

A

great thank you  :D ! much appreciated


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#11430 Argento

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 04:32 PM

hey A, where do you get your seasonal info from? thx.

Learning the hard way by trading against it through the years, but mostly from UBS and their cycles!

 

Best is to go back and study historical charts (don't always follow the same pattern but more or less), other key factors includes earnings season months, ECB meeting dates, futures close-out, Santa rallies (triple witching), seasonal bearish/bullish months etc

 

Jan  - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish)

Feb - Bullish but if Jan bullish followed by an uptrend then could be a top month (refer to previous years)

March - Bearish first half but futures close-out month so rally latter part

April - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish)

May - Tricky, sometimes bullish sometimes bearish but known as a very zig zag month

June - Mostly bearish but futures close-out month, after it is bullish...

July - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish)

August - Depend on bullmarket or bearmarket, if bull then bullish, if bear then bearish

September - Futures close-out month, first half bullish, second bearish

October - Earning season month (first half bearish..second bullish), also called month of bottoms

November - Bearish

December - First half bearish, latter bullish (Santa rally)

 

BUT...all of this must fit in with the tape, pattern and trend it is busy with!

 

Again, not set in stone but a good overall guideline!

 

A


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#11431 warnerbroers

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 04:09 PM

B)

hey A, where do you get your seasonal info from? thx.


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#11432 Ninja

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 04:02 PM

The paw paw is on the fan yet naspers remains above R1500😝
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#11433 REDorBLACK

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 03:58 PM

150 odd points to the chasm....no parachutes allowed... :ph34r:

scrap that....on the edge of doom now...


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#11434 REDorBLACK

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 03:54 PM

150 odd points to the chasm....no parachutes allowed... :ph34r:


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#11435 Motion Picture

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 03:40 PM

Greedy bear this!

 

Big black Bulgarian bear! :ph34r:


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You better know when to hold on, know when to walk away and know when to run!


#11436 gannet

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 03:23 PM

B)

 

:unsure:


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#11437 Argento

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 03:20 PM

A

 

If one wrong position wipes out the gain of 5 previous winning trades, then your money AND risk management profile is wrong. I state it as the obvious and I'm sure that you follow proper trading principles.

 

I am not referring to scalpers that will wipe out 5 x 50 pip scalps with 1 losing trade of 250 pips. Scalping is opportunistic at best and is just another tool to add pocket money to the war chest, and not a trading method in my opinion.

B)


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#11438 JJBen

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 03:06 PM

A

 

If one wrong position wipes out the gain of 5 previous winning trades, then your money AND risk management profile is wrong. I state it as the obvious and I'm sure that you follow proper trading principles.

 

I am not referring to scalpers that will wipe out 5 x 50 pip scalps with 1 losing trade of 250 pips. Scalping is opportunistic at best and is just another tool to add pocket money to the war chest, and not a trading method in my opinion.

 

 

 

 


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#11439 Lamarje

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 02:29 PM

German CPI @ 15:00(SA)...


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But I'm only a humble student subject to correction.


#11440 Argento

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Posted 05 January 2015 - 01:49 PM

Tell your son to remember the name HDBB

 

30 years from now ill also write a book and tell him to read it!! Ill explain how to make money the easy way....

 

No jokes aside, I haven't read a book my whole life and I don't plan too...You need to use your won judgement and system to win here. Reading  book means you following the crowd...and what happens in trading... 90% ( the crowd) lose money!!

 

 

Cheers!!

Reading books give you knowledge, insight and wisdom and by all means not saying you are following the crowd, and money is never made easy even in this game!

 

But hope your books find its way next to mine! :D

 

A


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