If looking at the facts there's a lot more positives today than 2 weeks ago.
We should see some positive movement the next few days imho
certainly the case- however difficult to predict when the bear thins completely and the bulls take charge. it could be today or a few days or even a few weeks.
there was certainly some interesting trading on Friday. we also have month end nearing with more funds entering the market so should see greater demand. Snippits technical post is very provocative ...Steinhoff is Steinhoff and could refute logic and expectations and even head to R2.00....and if that happens --buy some more shares!
https://www.iol.co.z...y-back-16165540
An interesting read looking at SNH legal battles and the opportunity for shareholders to recoup their losses-
I really do hope old shareholders are buying in at the lower rate- as this would be the best way to recoup losses. imagine shareholders decide to drop the law suit against themselves and target specifically the delinquent management, the directors liability insurance; auditors and banks that were the book sellers during listing for not being sufficiently critical.
the share price will quadruple . If VEB and all lawyers are truly acting in the best interest of their clients and not their own pockets- this would have most certainly been the strategy....load your shares, drop your average cost of ownership, and then support the recovery and turnaround....
however with fear mongering and creating false hope - the lawyers will aim to draw this out as long as possible....they are paid by the hour right...
shareholders should not settle for "legal claim settlement from what is left of Steinhoff"....we own the company and we should look to drive our own value and recovery...
what could the road look like:
By Jan 2019 the forensic report would be disclosed...what will they find...more of the same...
1. Over evaluated assets-
2. false revenue
3. questionable transactions and management enrichment
a. snh will target management to repay bonuses;
b. target those involved in shady deals to pay back ; and if not them their companies and their boards-. they too have directors laiability insurance and they too have auditors.....insurers will be the worst hit if you look at it...
c. impair false revenue and impair losses- accounting issue does not change the company future- perhaps the tax man will be willing to provide a tax credit- unlikely. may be some tax payment- which would be offset by the losses. good thing though company gets a clean taxbill at the end of this journey
d. defend legal cases and perhaps defer the blame to where it rightly sits.
e. in 4 years agree a small settlement
why are the creditors so keen to restructure
become owners- they could get settlement from debt equity swap, refinance debt with company turnaround, sell off some assets and get part payment; or even delist the company in 4 years with legal settlement and clearance. there is massive opportunity
why is there interest in snh shares currently?
cheap shares for both a trading opportunity as well as investment opportunity- massively discounted shares where foreign buyers are more willing to take on risk that they are familiar with.
so if you are a holder of snh shares and you have been holding the hot coal for some time- consider this---buy more shares on the dip. request your lawyers to target related parties and not snh shareholders....and see what happens to your share value....just a morning thought...