I'd like to add to that, DTD you do share some good posts and u seem to be educated as well..... But how the heck to u not see/talk about the risks? and when u talk about risks its not being negative.... Its RISKS and steinhoff is riddled with plenty of it
And yes u are friggen stubborn
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Lionel this exactly the part that I don't understand about you and Polly. If you see high risk in SNH drop the share and move on. For me investing is very simple when you buy a share there is always the case that the share will go to nothing and there goes all the money. So that's is why while you and Polly are entertaining Group 5 (now suspended) and EOH I don't go there because I see high risk and therefore I walk away that simple. The problem with you and Polly is never come with fact just negativity without any proof and that is not measuring risk.
For me the risks with SNH are:
1 - MF - This is now sorted and turning around
2 - Conforama - This business is not profitable and needs to be turned around which I believe its imminent but I would prefer they sold 49% of it to pay the debt.
3 - Greenlit Brands also not very profitable and even though its seems to be going on its own they are talking about selling part of it and that is welcome to me to reduce debt and return the business to profit. ( I would prefer to have MF, Conforama and Greenlit as equity accounted)
4 - There is a urgent need to get LSW claim sorted so that the CVA can go ahead and restructure put in place. There is also the POCO moneys held up and the quick this is sorted the better to pay debt down. There is going to be a court hearing this month about it so waiting on outcome.
5 - Class actions - This is a risk but will take a long time to get sorted and do not believe the courts will order SNH to close the business to sell assets and distribute the money to hold shareholders. So there is going to be lots of unnecessary costs but SNH will survive.
6 - Creditors call up their loans - This is a risk but I also note that most bonds were already sold to 60cts and 50cts on the Euro so creditors have already benefited and would benefit more if the company grows. The initial bond holders were the ones that lost but that was their choice to sell. That is why its important to get the CVA in place soonest.
7- There is a risk of further impairment on the FY 2017 and 2018 however do not believe this will be much more because the half year of 31 March 2018 already took most of that moneys discovered in the PWC report section 17.7 of the restated accounts on page 73. So I am not expecting any changes maybe even a improvement.
So you see these are the risks I see and in my opinion are limited there is more upside then downside due to the fast growing PEPCO and the SA operations also doing well.